59Статья поступила 27.08.2025. После доработки 08.09.2025. Принята к печати 01.10.2025.
Аннотация. Несмотря на заметное снижение водоемкости в период 2010–2021 гг., большинство центральноазиатских стран остается в числе мировых лидеров по водоемкости ВВП и сельского хозяйства. Для сокращения потребления воды требуется целенаправленная государственная политика. В частности, установление релевантной цены на воду даст правильные ориентиры для проведения инвестиционной и отраслевой политики, способствующей формированию модели устойчивого экономического роста.
Ключевые слова: экономический рост, водный след, водоемкость ВВП, экспорт виртуальной воды, межотраслевой баланс, Центральная Азия
Благодарность. Статья подготовлена в рамках проекта «Проект “Чистая вода” как важнейшая составляющая сотрудничества РФ со странами Глобального Юга: социально-экономическое и технологическое измерения» по гранту Министерства науки и высшего образования РФ на проведение крупных научных проектов по приоритетным направлениям научно-технологического развития (Соглашение № 075-15-2024-546).
СПИСОК ЛИТЕРАТУРЫ
1. Hu Yanan et al. Coupling Coordination Analysis of the Water-food-energycarbon Nexus for Crop Production in Central Asia. Applied Energy, 2024, vol. 369, 123584. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.123584
2. Xuanxuan Wang, Buli Cui, Yaning Chen, Tao Feng, Zhi Li, Gonghuan Fang. Dynamic Changes in Water Resources and Comprehensive Assessment of Water Resource Utilization Efficiency in the Aral Sea Basin, Central Asia. Journal of Environmental Management, 2024, vol. 353, 120198. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120198
3. Amanov B., Uljayev F., Jumaniyazova N. Assessment and Forecast of Water Resources Use in Uzbekistan. E3S Web of Conferences, November 2023, vol. 452, 02001. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202345202001
4. Yanan Hu, Weili Duan, Yaning Chen, Shan Zou, Patient Mindje Kayumba, Jingxiu Qin. Exploring the Changes and Driving Forces of Water Footprint in Central Asia: A Global Trade Assessment. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2022, vol. 375, 134062. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.134062
5. Shumin Han, Ping Xin, Huilong Li, Yonghui Yang. Evolution of Agricultural Development and Land-water-food Nexus in Central Asia. Agricultural Water Management, 2022, vol. 273, 107874. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2022.107874
6. Ding Y.K., Li Y.P., Liu Y.R. Spatial-temporal Assessment of Agricultural Virtual Water and Uncertainty Analysis: The Case of Kazakhstan (2000–2016). Science of The Total Environment, 2020, vol. 724, 138155. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138155
7. Weili Duan, Yaning Chen, Shan Zou, Nover D. Managing the Water-climate-food Nexus for Sustainable Development in Turkmenistan. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2019, vol. 220, pp. 212-224. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.02.040
8. Aldaya M.M., Munoz G., Hoekstra A.Y. Water Footprint of Cotton, Wheat and Rice Production in Central Asia. Value of Water Research Report Series No. 41. Delft, UNESCO-IHE Institute for Water Education, March 2010. 38 p. Available at: https://ris.utwente.nl/ws/portalfiles/portal/5147001/Report41-CentralAsia.pdf (accessed 20.05.2025).
9. Bekchanov M. The Impacts of Technological Change Policies on Water Uses and Virtual Water Trade in Waterconstrained Settings. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2024, vol. 456, 142378. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2024.142378
10. Gatto E., Lanzafame M. Water Resource as a Factor of Production: Water Use and Economic Growth. 45th ERSA Conference. Amsterdam, August 2005. 20 p. Available at: https://www-sre.wu.ac.at/ersa/ersaconfs/ersa05/papers/227.pdf (accessed 20.05.2025).
11. Barbier E.B. Water and Economic Growth in Developed and Developing Countries. Water Economics and Policy, 2024, vol. 10, no. 3, 2430002. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1142/S2382624X24300020
12. Barbier E.B., Burgess J.C. Economics of Water Scarcity and Efficiency. Sustainability, 2024, vol. 16, iss. 19, 8550. Available at: https://doi.org/10.3390/su16198550
13. Barbier E. Water and Economic Growth. The Economic Record, 2004, vol. 80, iss. 248, pp. 1-16. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-4932.2004.00121.x
14. Hoekstra A.Y., ed. Virtual Water Trade. Proceedings of the International Expert Meeting on Virtual Water Trade. Value of Water Research Report Series No. 12. IHE Delft Institute for Water Education, February 2003. 244 p. Available at: https://www.worldwatercouncil.org/fileadmin/wwc/Programs/Virtual_Water/VirtualWater_Proceedings_IHE.pdf (accessed 01.07.2025).
15. Allan J.A. Virtual Water: A Strategic Resource Global Solutions to Regional Deficits. Groundwater, 1998, vol. 36, iss. 4, pp. 545-546. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1745-6584.1998.tb02825.x
16. Allan J.A. Overall Perspectives on Countries and Regions. Rogers P., Lyndon P., eds. Water in the Arab World: Perspectives and Prognoses. Cambridge, Harvard University Press, 1994, pp. 65-100.
17. Allan J.A. Fortunately There Are Substitutes for Water Otherwise Our Hydropolitical Futures Would Be Impossible. Priorities for Water Resources Allocation and Management. London, Overseas Development Administration, 1993, pp. 13-26.
18. Ewing B.R., Hawkins T.R., Wiedmann T.O., Galli A., Ercin A.E., Weinzettel J., Steen-Olsen K. Integrating Ecological and Water Footprint Accounting in a Multi-Regional Input–Output Framework. Ecological Indicators, 2012, vol. 23, pp. 1-8. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2012.02.025
19. Lenzen M., Geschke A., Abd Rahman M.D., Xiao Y., Fry J., Reyes R., Dietzenbacher E., Inomata S., Kanemoto K., Los B., Moran D., Schulte in den Baumen H., Tukker A., Walmsley T., Wiedmann T., Wood R., Yamano N. The Global MRIO Lab – Charting the World Economy. Economic Systems Research, 2017, vol. 29, no. 2, pp. 158-186. Available at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/09535314.2017.1301887
20. Lenzen M., Geschke A., West J., Fry J., Malik A., Giljum S., Canals L.M.i., Pinero P., Lutter S., Wiedmann T., Li M., Sevenster M., Potočnik J., Teixeira I., Voore M.V., Nansai K., Schandl H. Implementing the Material Footprint to Measure Progress Towards SDGs 8 and 12. Nature Sustainability, 2022, vol. 5, pp. 157-166. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-021-00811-6
21. Lenzen M., Moran D., Bhaduri A., Kanemoto K., Bekchanov M., Geschke A., Foran B. International Trade of Scarce Water. Ecological Economics, 2013, vol. 94, pp. 78-85. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2013.06.018
22. Zhang C., Anadon L.D. A Multi-Regional Input–Output Analysis of Domestic Virtual Water Trade and Provincial Water Footprint in China. Ecological Economics, 2014, vol. 100, pp. 159-172. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2014.02.006
23. Qasemipour E., Tarahomi F., Pahlow M., Sadati S.M., Abbasi A. Assessment of Virtual Water Flows in Iran Using a Multi-Regional Input–Output Analysis. Sustainability, 2020, vol. 12 (18), 7424. Available at: https://doi.org/10.3390/su12187424
24. Koopman R., Wang Z., Wei S.J. Tracing Value-added and Double Counting in Gross Exports. American Economic Review, 2014, vol. 104, no. 2, pp. 459-494. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.104.2.459
25. Guangyao Deng, Keyu Di. A Study of Virtual Water Trade among G20 Countries from a Value-Added Trade Perspective. Water, 2024, vol. 16 (19), 2808. Available at: https://doi.org/10.3390/w16192808
26. Barbier E.B. The Water Paradox: Overcoming the Global Crisis in Water Management. Yale University Press, 2019. 288 p.
ДРУГИЕ ИСТОЧНИКИ
1. Central Asian Journal of Water Research. Available at: https://water-ca.org (accessed 01.07.2025).
2. Water Is a Common Good Not a Commodity: UN Experts. UN, 22.03.2023. Available at: https://www.ohchr.org/en/statements-and-speeches/2023/03/water-common-good-not-commodity-un-experts (accessed 20.05.2025).
3. DataBank, World Development Indicators. World Bank Group. Available at: https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators (accessed 01.07.2025).
4. AQUASTAT – FAO’s Global Information System on Water and Agriculture. FAO UN. Available at: https://www.fao.org/aquastat/en/ (accessed 01.07.2025).



Нет комментариев