Russia, Central Asia and Non-traditional Security Threats from Afghanistan following the US Withdrawal // Global Policy. 2022. Vol. 13, Issue 1. P. 138-145. DOI 10.1111/1758-5899.13058.
ISSN 1758-5880
DOI: 10.1111/1758-5899.13058
In the early 21st century, non-traditional security threats such as terrorism and narcotics trafficking drove the revival of post-Soviet Russia's interest in and concern about the Afghan problem. This article outlines main security threats for Russia and Central Asia in Afghanistan during two decades of the United States (US) presence, identifies new risks, aggravating circumstances, and threat reduction factors following the US forces’ final departure and Taliban's comeback to power since 2021, and explores ways to counter main Afghanistan-related security risks. For Russia and broader Eurasia, actual and potential non-traditional security threats emanating from Afghanistan are likely to persist under the Taliban's second rule. However, none of them are unmanageable. While inside Afghanistan, much depends on the new Taliban authorities’ performance, it is up to the Central Asian states themselves and to Russia as their Eurasian security ally to hedge against potential scenarios. If the security pillar of Russia's response is confined to Central Asia and Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), the political-diplomatic one extends to broader region and beyond. Overall, Russia has learnt its own historical lessons on Afghanistan: Moscow now prioritizes collective action in cooperation with regional powers, under multilateral frameworks extending beyond the region, and at the United Nations (UN).
Ключевые слова: Afghanistan | Central Asia |
Размещено в РИНЦ
Ссылка при цитировании:
Stepanova E. Russia, Central Asia and Non-traditional Security Threats from Afghanistan following the US Withdrawal. – Global Policy. 2022. Vol. 13, Issue 1. P. 138-145. DOI 10.1111/1758-5899.13058.
ДРУГИЕ ПУБЛИКАЦИИ НА ЭТУ ТЕМУ:
Степанова Е.А.
Russia and the Search for Negotiated Solution in Afghanistan // Europe-Asia Studies. 2020. DOI 10.1080/09668136.2020.1826908. URL: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09668136.2020.1826908?journalCode=ceas20. Published online: 26.10.2020.
Степанова Е.А.
Russia’s Approach to Afghanistan Following the Taliban Takeover // PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo. 2021. Issue 724. P. 1-6. URL: https://www.ponarseurasia.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/Pepm724_Stepanova_Nov2021.pdf. Date of publication: 22.11.2021.
Степанова Е.А.
Russia's Concerns Relating to Afghanistan and the Broader Region in the Context of the US/NATO Withdrawal / Policy Research Papers. Barcelona: CIDOB, June 2013, 23 p.
Володин А.Г.
The "Nuclear Confrontation" in South Asia [Text] / A. G. Volodin, V. Shukla // World Affairs. The Journal of International Issues. – 2019. – Vol. 23. – Issue 2. – P. 56-71.
Миркин Я.М., Кузнецов А., Кузнецова О.
The rocky road to modernity: 20 years of the Russian capital market / O. Kuznetsova, A. Kuznetsov, Y.M. Mirkin // Thunderbird International Business Review. – 2011. – V. 53. - Issue 5. - Р. 661–673.
Володин А.Г., Салицкий А.И.
Gli interessi della Russia nell’Asia-Pacifico [Text] / A. Volodin, A. Salickij // Istituto di Alti Study in Geopolitica e Scienze Ausiliarie. – 2014. – № 33. – P. 2 – 8.
Жуков С.В., Резникова О.Б.
Central Asia and New Global Economy. B. Rumer ed., M.E. Sharpe: Armonk, New York & London, 2000, 12 п.л.
Стефанович Д.В.
Nuclear Posture and Technology Trends in South Asia and Ways Ahead // The National Security Journal. 2022. Vol. 3, Issue 4. Art. 11. DOI 10.36878/nsj20220301.11.
Стефанович Д.В.
Missile Trends in South-East Asia // Новый оборонный заказ. Стратегии. 2022. № 1 (72). P. 71-76.
Кузнецов А.В.
Russian Direct Investment as a Factor of Eurasian Integration [Text] / Aleksei Kuznetsov // Problems of Economic Transition. – 2016. – № 4. – P. 348 – 361.
Старчак М.В.
Armenia’s nuclear industry: threats and challenges [Text] / M. Starchak // Central Asia and the Caucasus. – 2016. – Vol. 17. – № 3. – P. 75 – 87.
Красильщиков В.А.
«The Empty Box» of Southeast Asian Development? The Second-Tier «Tigers» from the Point of View of Latin American Experience [Text] / Victor Krasilshchikov// Entelequia. Revista Interdisciplinar. – 2013. – № 15. – Р. 1 – 35.
Канаев Е.А., Сумский В.В.
Russia’s Progress in Southeast Asia: Modest but Steady [Текст] / V. Sumsky, E. Kanaev, P. Richardson, V. Kozyreм // Russian Analytical Digest. – 2014. – № 145. – С. 2 – 4.
Сурков Н.Ю.
Тренды Ближнего Востока и Центральной Азии [Текст] = Contemporary trends in the Middle East and Central Asia / Н. Ю. Сурков // Вестник МГИМО - Университета. – 2018. – № 6(63). – С. 325-333. DOI: 10.24833/2071-8160-2018-6-63-325-333. – Рец. на кн.: Звягельская И.Д. Ближний Восток и Центральная Азия: Глобальные тренды в региональном исполнении. – М.: Аспект Пресс, 2018. – 224 с.
Кузнецов А.В.
The Baltics in the Geography of the Largest Transnational Corporations of Europe [Text] / А. Kuznetsov // Baltic Region. – 2015. – № 1. – Р. 36 – 48.
Russian interests in the context of Asia-Pacific region security and development. Report/RIAC, RSC APEC. Ed. Board: I.S. Ivanov (Chairman), V.G. Baranovsky, A.M. Vasilyev, A.A. Dynkin, V.L. Inozemtsev, A.V. Kortunov, V.A. Mau, V.V. Naumkin, S.M. Rogov, I.N. Timofeev. Authors: V. Sumsky, E. Koldunova, E. Kanaev. Moscow, Izdatelstvo Prospect, 2012, 32 p.
Рогожин А.А.
Regulation of Profits Repatriation by Investors from ASEAN Countries [Text] / Alexander Rogozhin // Asia-Pacific News Brief. – 2016. – № 2(5). – P. 110 – 114.
Михеев В.В.
The North Korean Nuclear Issue and The Northeast Asia Situation: Retrospect and Prospect [Текст] / V.V. Mikheev // The Journal of East Asian Affairs. – 2013. – V. 27. – № 1. – P. 75 – 98.
Притчин С.А.
Russian Policy towards Central Asia in the Late 20th and Early 21st Century // Электронный научно-образовательный журнал «История». 2021. Vol. 12, Issue 3 (101). DOI 10.18254/S207987840010196-4. URL: https://history.jes.su/s207987840010196-4-1/. Дата публикации: 15.04.2021.
Сумский В.В.
Can the East Asia Summit Continue to Prop ASEAN Centrality? [Text] / V. Sumsky // ASEAN Focus. – 2015-2016. – № 3. – P. 5 – 5.
Еще публикации по теме







Нет комментариев