Russia and the World: 2016. IMEMO Forecast [Text] / A. Dynkin, V. Baranovsky, I. Kobrinskaya, G. Machavariani et al. // New Perspectives. – 2015. – V. 24. – Issue 2. – P. 93 – 122.
Тип публикации:

ISSN 1210-762X

This forecast examines the major trends in Russia’s relations with the world and in the Russian view of the world in 2016. The forecast looks firstly at Russia’s role in the world in the context of the extant and emergent state of geopolitics. In a confused international environment, caught between the multiple, discordant and disorderly games of checkers of the present and the emerging design of a new grand chessboard for international relations, Russia and the West have been forced into cooperation. While far from easy and far from guaranteed to work – or last – this situation does offer the possibility of overcoming divides to pursue mutual interests. These interests become particularly apparent in the context of increased shared threats and the need to act jointly against them, the uncertainties created by rising powers, and the difficulties that Russia finds itself in. The key role of new megaregional trade agreements in this emerging great game is also emphasised in the subsequent sections of the forecast, which deal, respectively, with foreign policy and political economy. The foreign policy analysis sees the US in flux in a presidential election year, and the EU caught at the crossroads of its own failure to capitalise on integration and a migration crisis of unprecedented proportions. Meanwhile, foreign policy in the post-Soviet space is characterised more by stasis than by substantial change, with frozen conflicts and stagnant reforms in Ukraine and limited room for manoeuvre for other players the order of the day. The Russian involvement in the Middle East, however, is anything but stagnant, with the military operations in Syria having dramatic effects in both the situation in Syria and global and regional geopolitics. The sustainability of this quest for influence, however, is questioned by the attitude of other players, but also by Russia’s own internal weaknesses, notably its serious and deepening economic crisis. 
Журнал входит в базу данных Scopus.

Ключевые слова: international relations | new megaregional trade | economic crisis |

Ссылка при цитировании:

Russia and the World: 2016. IMEMO Forecast. – New Perspectives. – 2015. – V. 24. – Issue 2. – P. 93 – 122.


Загашвили В.С.
The WTO crisis as evidence of a globalization crisis [Text] / V. Zagashvili // Social Sciences. A Quarterly Journal of the Russian Academy of Sciences. – 2019. – Vol. 50. – Issue 2. – P. 60-71. DOI: 10.21146/0134-5486-2019-50-2-60-71

Салицкий А.И.
The United States and China: Deadlocks and Paradoxes of Trade War // Herald of the Russian Academy of Sciences. 2020. Vol. 90, Issue 4. P. 460-469. DOI 10.1134/S101933162004005X.

Жуковская В.М.
Изменения в мирохозяйственной системе: новая роль развивающихся стран / В.М. Жуковская // Вопросы статистики. – 2012. – № 3. – С. 44–53.

Арбатова Н.К.
Russia and the European Union: Deferred Partnership // Social Sciences : A Quarterly Journal of the Russian Academy of Sciences. 2021. Vol. 52, Issue 3. P. 34-52. DOI 10.21557/SSC.69990128.

Портанский А.П.
WTO Crisis: Is There a Way Out? In: Popkova, E.G., Sergi, B.S. (eds) Geo-Economy of the Future. Springer, Cham. 2022. P. 773-781. DOI 10.1007/978-3-030-92303-7_80.

Арбатова Н.К.
Russia and the European Union: Deferred Partnership // Social Sciences. 2021. Vol. 52, Issue 3. P. 34-52. DOI 10.21557/SSC.69990128.

Невская А.А.
Economic Ties between Russia and Estonia in the Modern Context [Text] / A.A. Nevskaya // Studies on Russian Economic Development. – 2016. – Vol. 27. – № 2. – P. 216 – 221.

Кузнецов А.В.
Relational locomotive or apple of discord? – Bilateral perceptions of the economic cooperation [Text] / A. Deak, A. Kuznetsov // Journal of Contemporary European Studies. – 2019. – Vol. 27. – Issue 2. – P. 159-170. DOI: 10.1080/14782804.2019.1566118.

Арбатова Н.К.
Eastern partnership in the context of Ukrainian conflict: Lessons to be learned [Текст] / N. Arbatova // Newsletter 'In Depth'(Сenter of European and International Affairs). . – 2014. – Vol. 11 . – Issue 3. – .

Вода К.Р.
Russo-Japanese Peace Treaty Negotiations and Plans for Joint Economic Activity on the Southern Kuril Islands // Macro Management & Public Policies. ISSN: 2661-3360. 2020. Vol. 2, Issue 2. P. 31-36. DOI 10.30564/mmpp.м2i2.1250. URL: . Published online: 31.05.2020.

Арбатова Н.К.
Scenarios for the post-crisis Europe [Text] / // Center for European and International Affairs. – 2013. – Volume 10. – Issue 3. – P. 23 – 28.

Салицкий А.И., Таций В.В.
Зарождение биполярности или солидерство? / А.И. Салицкий, В.В. Таций // Восток. Афро-Азиатские общества: История и современность. – 2012. – № 3. – С. 87–97.

Euro zone crisis: Causes and consequences for the Euro-Atlantic region. Report for the Euro-Atlantic Security Initiative Commission, July 2010. Head of the research and scientific editor A. Dynkin. – M. : IMEMO RAN, 2010. – 31 pp.

Варнавский В.Г.
The Global Transportation and Logistics Infrastructure // Herald of the Russian Academy of Sciences. 2021. Vol. 91, Issue 1. P. 65-72. DOI 10.1134/S1019331621010093.

Брагина Е.А.
India – Africa: Trade and Investments in the 21st Century [Text] / E. A. Bragina // Контуры глобальных трансформаций: политика, экономика, право. – 2019. – Special Issue. – P. 83-97. DOI: 10.23932/2542-0240-2018-11-5-182-199.

Володин А.Г.
Russia-India: Problems and Prospects of Cross Investment [Text] / A.G. Volodin // Herald of the Russian Academy of Sciences. – 2016. – Vol. 86. – № 6. – P. 500 – 506.

Канаев Е.А., Мурадов К.
Business in ASEAN: Practical Aspect [Text] / Е.А. Kanaev, K. Muradov // Russian Business Guide. – 2013. – № 3(12). – P. 14 – 17.

Клинова М.В., Сидорова Е.А.
Economic Sanctions and Their Impact on Russian Economic Relations with the European Union [Text] / M. Klinova, E. Sidorova // Problems of Economic Transition. – 2016. – Vol. 58. – № 3. – P. 218 – 234.

Трофимова И.Н.
БРИКС и развивающиеся страны в системе мирохозяйственных связей: сдвиги в международном движении капитала / И.Н. Трофимова // Вопросы статистики. – 2012. – № 3. – С. 54–63.

Войтоловский Ф.Г.
US Strategy in a Changing World Order: Challenges for Russia // Herald of the Russian Academy of Sciences. 2021. Vol. 91, Issue 4. P. 393-402. DOI 10.1134/S1019331621040080.
Еще публикации по теме

Комментарии (0)

Нет комментариев

Добавить комментарий

Актуальные комментарии
Новости Института

В последние годы на Южном Кавказе наблюдается активизация внерегиональных игроков. Не остались в стороне и Индия с Пакистаном. Статья Глеба Макаревича на сайте РСМД.



Сектор Кавказа Центра постсоветских исследований ИМЭМО РАН провел очередное заседание научно-практического семинара «Кавказ в прошлом и настоящем». Докладчик – к.и.н. С.Г. Мелконян.


Вышли из печати