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12 февраля 2026 г. в журнале международных отношений и устойчивого развития «Horizons» (WINTER 2026/ISSUE NO.33) опубликована статья ведущего научного сотрудника Центра международной безопасности ИМЭМО РАН к.и.н. Дмитрия Тренина «The Architecture of Rivalry». Power Politics in the Post-Western Age.

While the discourse regarding a “new world order” has yielded certain insights, it remains largely premature. To be sure, the post-Cold War unipolar moment has passed, as has the global hegemony of U.S. liberal democracy. A polycentric reality – often erroneously labeled “multipolarity” – is already upon us. Yet, it lacks a foundational order to underpin it; instead, the international system is defined by intense rivalry across multiple strata. We are unequivocally in a state of transition. It will take time for these competing powers to accommodate themselves to a new global distribution of power and establish a successor order. Until such an equilibrium is reached, contestation will prevail – ideally without precipitating global catastrophe.

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