Received 05.06.2023. Revised 15.01.2024. Accepted 15.04.2024.
Abstract. As a head of IMEMO, the Academician Alexandr Dynkin focused on forecasting the main directions of world development – in the economy, ideological, social and political spheres, as well as in the field of international security. The Institute prepared both annual and long-term (15–20 years) forecasts, which have been published since 2008 under the general title “Russia and the World”. This large prognostic project was headed by Alexandr Dynkin and Vladimir Baranovskii. The IMEMO analysts concentrated on issues of key importance for ensuring Russia’s stable economic development. The annual forecasts identified and traced main trends in the economies of the U.S., Europe, Japan, China, India, Russia and the world as a whole. The conjuncture of the most important markets for Russian exports was predicted. These annual publications presented an analysis and prognosis of developments of in international relations, investigated the main external challenges for Russia, and proposed options for response. In the forecast up to 2030, prepared in 2008, the researchers analyzed the development dynamics of key subjects, structures and institutions of international relations, the most likely models of their interaction, the emerging principles and mechanisms of global governance. In parallel with the forecasts, the Institute regularly prepared analytical materials and recommendations for the central government bodies of the Russian Federation. The most important results of the Institute’s work were included in the annual reports of the Russian Academy of Sciences submitted to the President and the Government of Russia. In general, the first “five-year period” of Alexandr Dynkin’s directorship (2007–2011) was marked by a number of important scientific achievements of IMEMO. By the beginning of the 2010s, the Institute had not only restored, but also significantly strengthened its position as the leading think tank in Russia in the study of the modern world development problems. In October 2011, the IMEMO research team re-elected the Academician Alexandr Dynkin as a Director of the Institute for a second five-year term.
Keywords: IMEMO, Dynkin, prognosis, world economy, globalization, international security, expertise, ratings
REFERENCES
1. Dynkin A.A., ed. Strategic Global Forecast 2030. Moscow, IMEMO, 2011. 480 p. (In Russ.)
SOURCES
1. The most significant results of the scientific and organizational activities of IMEMO in 2008–2012. Archive of IMEMO. (In Russ.)
2. Transcript of the meeting of the Academic Council of the IMEMO 19.10.2011. Archive of the IMEMO. (In Russ.)
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