Received 29.06.2022. Revised 01.08.2022. Accepted 26.09.2022.
Acknowledgements. The article was prepared within the project “Post-Crisis World Order: Challenges and Technologies, Competition and Cooperation” supported by the grant from Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation program for research projects in priority areas of scientific and technological development (Agreement ¹ 075-15-2020-783).
Abstract. Against the backdrop of a sharp aggravation of the international situation, the growth of fundamental contradictions between Russia and Western countries, and the growing disunity of the international community, the terrorist threat is increasing. Its most dangerous manifestations are the attempts already made by terrorists to use elements of weapons of mass destruction (WMD), as well as to seize dangerous infrastructure facilities, including nuclear cycle facilities, the damage or destruction of which could lead to mass casualties. Recently, the threat of terrorist acts against high-risk civilian infrastructure has increased dramatically. Military operations in Ukraine and the concomitant violation of the working rhythm of the nuclear power plant, the weakening of the security system actually open the “gates” to both provocative forceful actions and the intrigues of terrorists or groups interested in escalating the armed conflict. Computer technology and Internet resources provide new opportunities for illegal access to WMD components, which opens up new options, for instance, to the manufacture of the so-called “dirty bomb” and “bomb in the garage”. The growth of international tension not only complicates the coordinated solution of socio-economic problems in the poorest countries of the world, but also contributes to their aggravation, thereby creating conditions for a significant increase in migration flows to the most developed countries. As a result, in these countries and in the world as a whole, prerequisites are created for replenishing the ranks of terrorists. Ñoordination of actions of states and international institutions, enhancing the effectiveness of the NPT regimes, of already cooperatively developed and promising measures to combat terrorism can significantly reduce this threat. Without scaling down the level of confrontation between Russia and the West, the possibility of effective collective action in this direction is now significantly hampered. Historical experience, however, shows that deep crises can create the preconditions for a return to dialogue and increased cooperation on security issues.
Keywords: catastrophic terrorism, weapons of mass destruction, Russia and Western countries, PSI, IAEA, the threat, nuclear power plants, nuclear cycle facilities, religious extremism, anti-terrorist strategies
REFERENCES
1. El Hayek V. Cyberattack on centrifuges. Israel attacked an Iranian nuclear facility on the eve of Sergey Lavrov’s visit to Tehran. How should Russia understand this? Novaya Gazeta, 12.04.2021. (In Russ.) Available at: https://novayagazeta.ru/articles/2021/04/12/kiberataka-na-tsentrifugi (accessed 03.05.2022).
2. Strickler L., Gosk S., Rich S. How easy is it to get the material to make a dirty bomb? Very, report says. NBC News, 21.07.2022. Available at: https://www.nbcnews.com/news/easy-get-materials-build-dirty-bomb-report-says-rcna39085 (accessed 03.06.2022).
3. Malone P., Smith R.J. ISIS Sought Nuclear Material for Dirty Bomb, Officials Believe. NBC News, 29.02.2016. Available at: https://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/isis-terror/isis-sought-nuclear-material-dirty-bomb-officials-believe-n527626 (accessed 04.06.2022).
4. Okunev D. According to the developments of the Nazis: how sectarians staged a terrorist attack in Tokyo. Gazeta.Ru, 20.03.2020. (In Russ.) Available at: https://www.gazeta.ru/science/2020/03/20_a_13014073.shtml?updated (accessed 03.05.2022).
5. Ranks K. Chemistry for Iraq and the Levant: why it is convenient to use chemical weapons in the Middle East. Russia in Global Affairs, 29.09.2014. (In Russ.) Available at: https://globalaffairs.ru/articles/himiya-dlya-iraka-i-levanta-pochemu-imenno-na-blizhnem-vostoke-udobno-primenyat-himoruzhie/ (accessed 30.06.2022).
6. Kadomtsev A. Coronavirus revives fears of bioterrorism. International Affairs, 05.06.2020. (In Russ.) Available at: https://interaffairs.ru/news/show/26579 (accessed 24.06.2022).
7. Kleshchenko A. Who and when sent out “poisoned” correspondence? Argumenty i Fakty, 18.04.2013. (In Russ.) Available at: https://aif.ru/dontknows/1226009 (accessed 21.06.2022).
8. Allison G. Nuclear Terrorism: The Worst Yet Preventable Catastrophe. Moscow, LKI Publisher, 2007. 296 p.
9. Topychkanov P. Nuclear Terrorism: Bogeyman or Real Threat? Russian international affairs Council, 23.01.2014. (In Russ.) Available at: https://russiancouncil.ru/analytics-and-comments/analytics/yadernyy-terrorizm-zhupel-ili-ugroza/ (accessed 03.05.2022).
10. Belous V. Nuclear Terrorism: there have already been attempts. Nezavisimoye Voyennoye Obozreniye, 08.10.2004. (In Russ.) Available at: https://nvo.ng.ru/concepts/2004-10-08/4_terrorism.html (accessed 28.05.2022).
11. Roy O. Jihad and Death: The Global Appeal of Islamic State. London, Hurst Publishers, 2017. 136 p.
12. Moiseev D. The Russian special operation caused a global “economic storm”. Nezavisimaya gazeta, 14.04.2022. (In Russ.) Available at: https://www.ng.ru/world/2022-04-14/6_8148_storm.html (accessed 10.06.2022).
13. Lavrov S., Rice C. Russia and America against nuclear terrorism. Izvestiya, 04.07.2005. (In Russ.) Available at: https://iz.ru/news/303886 (accessed 02.06.2022).
14. Uvarchev L. NPT Conference did not agree on the outcome document. Kommersant, 27.08.2022. (In Russ.) Available at: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/5535061 (accessed 05.09.2022).
15. Nair S., Roth N. Nuclear Security Year in Review, 2021. Stimson, 20.01.2022. Available at: https://www.stimson.org/2022/nuclear-security-year-in-review-2021/ (accessed 05.06.2022).
SOURCES
1. Shoigu warned about Kiev’s responsibility for accidents due to the continuation of provocation at the ZNPP. TASS, 02.09.2022. (In Russ.) Available at: https://tass.ru/armiya-i-opk/15629557 (accessed 04.09.2022).
2. Ukrainian saboteurs who were preparing a terrorist attack on the ZNPP were detained in Energodar. RIA Novosti, 31.08.2022. (In Russ.) Available at: https://ria.ru/20220831/diversanty-1813414345.html (accessed 03.09.2022).
3. Mass media: nuclear power plants were supposed to be the main target of terrorists in Belgium. TASS, 24.03.2016. (In Russ.) Available at: https://tass.ru/mezhdunarodnaya-panorama/2974904?utm_source=yandex.ru&utm_medium=organic&utm_campaign=yandex.ru&utm_referrer=yandex.ru (accessed 07.06.2022).
4. In Iran it was said that the accident at the nuclear facility in Natanz was due to a terrorist attack. TASS, 11.04.2021. (In Russ.) Available at: https://tass.ru/mezhdunarodnaya-panorama/11117749 (accessed 25.06.2022).
5. The source told why Ukraine used the Chernobyl nuclear power plant zone. RIA Novosti, 06.03.2022. (In Russ.) Available at: https://ria.ru/20220306/chaes-1776880399.html (accessed 28.06.2022).
6. The sarin attack in the Tokyo subway in 1995. Dossier. TASS, 06.07.2018. (In Russ.) Available at: https://tass.ru/info/5352147 (accessed 14.06.2022).
7. A deadly formula. Scientists assessed the risks of creating chemical weapons “in the garage”. RIA Novosti, 20.03.2022. (In Russ.) Available at: https://ria.ru/20220320/khimoruzhie-1778847980.html (accessed 28.03.2022).
8. Columbia Man Pleads Guilty to Attempting to Purchase Chemical Weapon on the Dark Web. US Department of Justice, 04.08.2020. Available at: https://www.justice.gov/usao-wdmo/pr/columbia-man-pleads-guilty-attempting-purchase-chemical-weapon-dark-web (accessed 25.05.2022).
9. Guterres: The pandemic has revealed acute problems, including the danger of bioterrorism. UN. 02.07.2020. (In Russ.) Available at: https://news.un.org/ru/story/2020/07/1381332 (accessed 02.04.2022).
10. Global Terrorism Index 2022: Measuring the impact of Terrorism. Institute for Economics & Peace. March 2022. Available at: https://www.visionofhumanity.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/GTI-2022-web-09062022.pdf (accessed 07.09.2022).
11. Analysing social media. Interpol. Available at: https://www.interpol.int/Crimes/Terrorism/Analysing-social-media (accessed 07.09.2022).
12. Country Reports on Terrorism 2015. U.S. Department of State. 02.06.2016. Available at: https://2009-2017.state.gov/documents/organization/258249.pdf (accessed 07.06.2022).
13. Foreign Terrorist Organizations. U.S. Department of State. Available at: https://www.state.gov/foreign-terrorist-organizations/ (accessed 07.09.2022).
14. Unified federal list of organizations, including foreign and international, designated as terrorist by the courts of the Russian Federation (as of August 12, 2015). Rossiyskaya Gazeta, 23.10.2015. (In Russ.) Available at: https://rg.ru/documents/2015/10/23/spisok-dok.html (accessed 07.09.2022).
15. Unified federal list of organizations, including foreign and international, designated as terrorist by the courts of the Russian Federation (as of July 05, 2022). FSB RF. (In Russ.) Available at: http://www.fsb.ru/fsb/npd/terror.htm (accessed 07.09.2022).
16. ISIS kills record number of people in 2020. Rossiyskaya Gazeta, 17.12.2021. (In Russ.) Available at: https://rg.ru/2021/12/17/boeviki-igil-v-2020-godu-ubili-rekordnoe-chislo-liudej.html (accessed 15.05.2022).
17. Annex of Statistical Information Country Reports on Terrorism 2020. U. S. Department of State. Bureau of Counterterrorism. 29.10.2021. Available at: https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jsource/Terrorism/2020_Country_Terror_Stats1.pdf (accessed 25.04.2022).
18. Interview with the Special Representative of the Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation for International Cooperation in the Struggle against Terrorism, Director of the Department for New Challenges and Threats of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation V.E. Tarabrin to MIA “Russia Today” August 1, 2022. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation. 02.08.2022. (In Russ.). Available at: https://www.mid.ru/ru/foreign_policy/international_safety/crime/1824736/ (accessed 07.08.2022).
19. Global Initiative to Combat Acts of Nuclear Terrorism. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation. 25.01.2019. (In Russ.) Available at: https://www.mid.ru/ru/foreign_policy/international_safety/1481147/ (accessed 07.08.2022).
20. Press conference following the Nuclear Security Summit. President of Russia. Official website. 27.03.2012. (In Russ.). Available at: http://www.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/14859 (accessed 15.05.2022).
21. Peskov: Russia’s non-participation in the nuclear summit is due to a lack of interaction with partners. ÒÀSS, 30.03.2016. (In Russ.) Available at: https://tass.ru/politika/3162497 (accessed 25.05.2022).
22. The Nuclear Security Summit in Washington became the last one. ÒÀSS, 02.04.2016. (In Russ.) Available at: https://tass.ru/mezhdunarodnaya-panorama/3171212 (accessed 15.06.2022).
23. WMD Proliferation Initiative. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation. 28.04.2021. (In Russ.) Available at: https://www.mid.ru/ru/foreign_policy/international_safety/disarmament/obshchie_voprosy_mezhdunarodnoy_bezopasnosti_i_kontrolya_nad_vooruzheniyami/1413303/ (accessed 28.06.2022).
24. Comment of the Information and Press Department of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation on the document of the 25 states participating in the WMD Proliferation Initiative (PSI)“Joint Declaration in Support of the Implementation of UN Security Council Resolutions 1540, 2231, 2216, 1701, 2118, 2375 and 2397”. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation. 25.06.2018. (In Russ.) Available at: https://www.mid.ru/ru/foreign_policy/news/1573636/ (accessed 14.06.2022).
25. Participants of the NPT Conference failed to agree on outcome document. TASS, 27.08.2022. (In Russ.) Available at: https://tass.ru/politika/15576143?utm_source=yandex.ru&utm_medium=organic&utm_campaign=yandex.ru&utm_referrer=yandex.ru (accessed 09.09.2022).
Registered in System SCIENCE INDEX
No comments