Modern Western Studies at the New Stage of the World Order Crisis

242
DOI: 10.20542/0131-2227-2020-64-4-96-105
Sh. Shakhalilov (timur7628@mail.ru), 
Lomonosov Moscow State University, GSP 1, Leninskie Gory, Moscow, 119991, Russian Federation

Abstract. The problems faced by the world order, possible ways for their solution are disclosed in the latest Western political studies. The analysis of them has allowed to reveal changes in the researchers’ views on the liberal order, ways for its dissemination throughout the world, prospects for the transformations which have happened under the influence of the changed international situation. The experts are concerned with the erosion of the world order, insist that it retreats in the face of authoritarianism, populism and nationalism, and is under a threat. The understanding is growing up to consider the whole complex of external and internal factors affecting the order as this is the only way to respond to the facing challenges. Among the causes of the liberal order crisis the analysts mark out negative consequences of globalization: increase in the number of losers all over the world and in the Western countries, strengthening of nationalist sentiments in Asia and Europe, growth of disparities between developed and developing countries. Western authors have different assessments concerning the cause of the liberal order problems, measures for getting it out of crisis. Among the measures suggested there are the international institutions reformation (more countries should be engaged into their management structures), recognition of the national sovereignty value, establishing of conditions for cooperation between liberal democracies and authoritarian regimes. However, the reforms proposed have a half-way character and miscalculate their own political and economic consequences. The analysis of the viewpoints concerning the world order future, which exist within the Western expert societies, has allowed to select three possible scenarios for the crisis situation solution and determine the most probable one. 

Keywords: world order, liberal internationalism, realism, globalization, nationalism, world powers, USA


REFERENCES

  1. Is the Liberal Order in Peril? Foreign Affairs Asks the Experts. Foreign Affgairs. Available at: https://foreignaffairs.com/ask-the-experts/liberal-order-peril (accessed 08.07.2019).
  2. Colgan J., Keohane R. The Liberal Order Is Rigged. Fix It Now or Watch It Wither. Foreign Affairs, 2017, vol. 96, no. 3 (May–June), pp. 36-44.
  3. Glaser Ch. Flawed Framework: Why the Liberal International Order Concept Is Misguided. International Security, 2019, vol. 43, no. 4 (April), pp. 51-87. DOI:10.1162/isec_a_00343
  4. Beate J. Liberal Internationalism: Historical Trajectory and Current Prospects. International Affairs, 2018, vol. 94, no. 1 (January), pp. 43-61. DOI:10.1093/ia/iix23
  5. Duncombe C., Dunne T. After Liberal World Order. International Affairs, 2018, vol. 94, no. 1 (January), pp. 25-42. DOI:10.1093/ia/iix234
  6. Sorensen G. Rethinking the New World Order. London, Palgrave, 2016. 264 p.
  7. Ikenberry G.J. After Victory: Institutions, Strategic Restraint and the Rebuilding of Order after Major Wars. Princeton, Princeton University Press, 2001. 312 p.
  8. Ikenberry G.J. The End of Liberal International Order? International Affairs, 2018, vol. 94, no. 1 (January), pp. 7-23. DOI:10.1093/ ia/iix241
  9. Ikenberry G.J. The Plot Against American Foreign Policy. Can the Liberal Order Survive? Available at: https://scholar.princeton.edu/sites/default/files/gji3/files/may-june_2017_foreign_affairs.pdf (accessed 21.04.2019).
  10. Mearsheimer J. The Great Delusion: Liberal Dreams and International Realities. New Haven (CT), Yale University Press, 2018. 313 p.
  11. Wright T. The Return to Great-Power Rivalry Was Inevitable. The Atlantic, 12.09.2018. Available at: https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2018/09/liberal-order-free-world-trump-authoritarianism/569881 (accessed 25.11.2018).
  12. Deudney D., Ikenberry G.J. Liberal World: The Resilient Order. Foreign Affairs, 2018, vol. 97, no. 4 (July), pp. 16-24.
  13. Mandelbaum M. The New Containment. Handling Russia, China and Iran. Foreign Affairs, March/April 2019. Available at: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/china/2019-02-12/new-containment (accessed 16.04.2019).
  14. Munich Security Report 2018. To the Brink and Back? Available at: https://securityconference.org/assets/02_Dokumente/01_Publikationen/MunichSecurityReport2018.pdf (accessed 11.04.2018).
  15. Managing Global Disorder: Prospects for Transatlantic Cooperation. Council on Foreign Relations. August 20, 2018. Available at: https://www.cfr.org/report/managing-global-disorder-prospects-transatlantic-cooperation (accessed 20.09.2018).
  16. Haass R. Liberal Order, R.I.P. Council on Foreign Relations. March 21, 2018. Available at: https://www.cfr.org/article/liberal-world-order-rip (accessed 03.05.2018).
  17. Lieven A. Don’t Fear the New Nationalism. The National Interest, 25.06.2017. Available at: https://nationalinterest.org/feature/dont-fear-the-new-nationalism-21307 (accessed 15.06. 2018).
  18. Dworkin A., Leonard M. Can Europe Save the World Order? European Council on Foreign Relations. May 24, 2018. Available at: https://www.ecfr.eu/publications/summary/can_europe_save_the_world_order (accessed 08.10.2018).
  19. Nye Jr.J.S. The Rise and Fall of American Hegemony from Wilson to Trump. International Affairs, 2019, vol. 95, no. 1 (January), pp. 63-80. DOI:10.1093/ia/iiy212
  20. Brattberg E., Kimmage M. Trump and the (Liberal) International Order. The National Interest, 26.02.2018. Available at: https://nationalinterest.org/feature/trump-the-liberal-international-order‑24659 (accessed 13.07.2018).
  21. Wright T. Trump’s Foreign Policy is no Longer Unpredictable. Gone Are the Days of a Divided Administration. Foreign Affairs, 18.01.2019. Available at: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/world/2019-01-18/trumps-foreign-policy-no-longer-unpredictable?cid=int-flb&pgtype=hpg (accessed 17.04.2019).
  22. Kaplan R. America’s Darwinian Nationalism. The National Interest, 13.08.2017. Available at: https://nationalinterest.org/feature/americas-darwinian-nationalism-21889 (accessed 21.01.2018).
  23. Managing Global Disorder: Prospects for U.S.-Russian Cooperation. Council on Foreign Relations. August 23, 2017. Available at: https://www.cfr.org/report/managing-global-disorder-prospects-us-russian-cooperation (accessed 29.09.2018).
  24. Lind J., Wohlforth W. The Future of the Liberal Order Is Conservative. Foreign Affairs, March/April 2019. Available at: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/2019-02-12/future-liberal-order-conservative (accessed 19.06.2019).
  25. Rose G. What’s Inside. An Autopsy of Last Decades of American Global Leadership. Foreign Affairs, July/August 2019. Available at: https://foreignaffairs.com/articles/2019-06-11/what-happened-american-century (accessed 05.07.2019).
  26. Managing Global Disorder: Prospects for U.S.-China Cooperation. Council on Foreign Relations. April 18, 2018. Available at: https://www.cfr.org/report/managing-global-disorder-prospects-us-china-cooperation (accessed 16.10.2018).
  27. Diesen G. The Global Resurgence of Economic Nationalism. Valdai Discussion Club. Valdai Papers, no. 80, 21.12.2017. Available at: https://valdaiclub.com/a/valdai-papers/the-global-resurgence-of-economic-nationalism/ (accessed 14.04.2018).
  28. Sakwa R. The New Atlanticism. Valdai Discussion Club. Valdai Papers, no. 17, 25.05.2015. Available at: https://valdaiclub.com/a/valdai-papers/valdai_paper_17_the_new_atlanticism/ (accessed 23.07.2016).
  29. Allison G. The Myth of the Liberal Order. From Historical Accident to Conventional Wisdom. Foreign Affairs, 2018, vol. 97, no. 4, pp. 124-133.
  30. Niblett R. Liberalism in Retreat. Foreign Affairs, 2017, vol. 96, no. 1, pp. 17-24.
  31. Schwartz H. US Policy and Globalization: Before and After the Global Financial Crisis. Valdai Discussion Club. Valdai Papers, no. 51, 07.07.2016. Available at: https://valdaiclub.com/a/valdai-papers/valdai-paper‑51-us-policy-and-globalization-before-and-after-the-global-financial-crisis/ (accessed 11.10.2017).
  32. Trubowitz P., Harris P. The End of the American Century? Slow Erosion of the Domestic Sources of Usable Power. International Affairs, 2019, vol. 95, no. 3 (May), pp. 619-639. DOI:10.1093/ia/iiz055
  33. Parmar I. The US-led Liberal Order: Imperialism by Another Name? International Affairs, 2018, vol. 94, no. 1 (January), pp. 151-172. DOI:10.1093/ia/iix240
  34. Rodrik D. Globalization’s Wrong Turn and How It Hurt America. Foreign Affairs, July/August 2019. Available at: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2019-06-11/globalizations-wrong-turn (accessed 07.07.2019).
  35. Bordo M. The Second Era of Globalization is Not Yet Over: An Historical Perspective. Hoover Institution Economic Working Papers, July 3–4, 2017. Available at: https://www.hoover.org/sites/default/files/research/docs/17103-bordo.pdf (accessed 15.10.2018).
  36. Allison R. Russia and the Post‑2014 International Legal Order: Revisionism and Realpolitik. International Affairs, 2017, vol. 93, no. 3, pp. 519-544.
  37. Godement F. Expanded Ambitions, Shrinking Achievements: How China Sees the Global Order. European Council on Foreign Relations. March 9, 2017. Available at: https://www.ecfr.eu/publications/summary/expanded_ambitions_shrinking_achievements_how_china_sees_the_global_order (accessed 23.08.2018).
  38. Porter P. A World Imagined: Nostalgia and liberal Order. CATO Institute. June 5, 2018. Available at: https://www.cato.org/publications/policy-analysis/world-imagined-nostalgia-liberal-order (accessed 11.08.2018).
  39. Staniland P. Misreading “Liberal Order”: Why We Need New Rethinking in American Foreign Policy. Lawfare. July 29, 2018. Available at: https://www.lawfareblog.com/misreading-liberal-order-why-we-need-new-thinking-american-foreign-policy (accessed 19.10.2018).
  40. Danforth N. What’s So Disordered about Your World Order? War on the Rocks. June 20, 2018. Available at: https://warontherocks.com/2018/06/whats-so-disordered-about-your-world-order/ (accessed 29.07.2018).
  41. Challenging Multilateralism and the Liberal Order. Council on Foreign Relations. June 08, 2016. Available at: https://www.cfr.org/report/challenging-multilateralism-and-liberal-order (accessed 03.08.2018).
  42. Mearsheimer J., Walt S. The Case for Offshore Balancing. A Superior U. S. Grand Strategy. Revue International et Strategique, 2017, vol. 105, no. 1, pp. 18-33. DOI:10.3917/ris.105.0018
  43. Walt S.M. The End of Hubris and the New Age of American Restraint. Foreign Affairs, May/June 2019. Available at: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/2019-04-16/end-hubris (accessed 19.06.2019).
  44. Schweller R. Three Cheers for Trump’s Foreign Policy. What the Establishment Misses. Foreign Affairs, September/October 2018. Available at: https://foreignaffairs.com/articles/world/2018-08-13/three-cheers-trumps-foreign-policy (accessed 17.04.2018).
  45. Wohlforth W. The Return of Realpolitik: Stability vs Change in the US-Led World Order. Valdai Discussion Club. Valdai Papers, no. 11, 12.02.2015. Available at: https://valdaiclub.com/a/valdai-papers/valdai_paper_11_the_return_of_realpolitik_stability_vs_change_in_the_us_led_world_order/ (accessed 23.10.2016).
  46. Nye Jr.J.S. Will the Liberal Order Survive? The History of an Idea. Foreign Affairs, 2017, vol. 96, no. 1, pp. 10-16.
  47. Stokes D. Trump, American Hegemony and the Future of the Liberal International Order. International Affairs, 2018, vol. 94, no. 1 (January), pp. 133-150. DOI:10.1093/ia/iix238
  48. Ikenberry G. J., Parmar I., Stokes D. Introduction: Ordering the World? Liberal Internationalism in Theory and Practice. International Affairs, 2018, vol. 94, no. 1 (January), pp. 1-5. DOI:10.1093/ia/iik277
  49. Rupp-Hooper M., Friedman R. The Open World. What America Can Achieve After Trump. Foreign Affairs, May/June 2019. Available at: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/2019-04-16/open-world (accessed 19.06.2019).
  50. Layne C. The US-Chinese Power Shift and the Pax Americana. International Affairs, 2018, vol. 9, no. 1 (January), pp. 63-88. DOI:10.1093/ia/iix249
  51. Daalder I., Linsday J. Empty Throne: America’s Abdication of Global Leadership. NY, Hachette Book Group, 2018. 256 p.
  52. Ikenberry G. J. Why the Liberal Order Will Survive. Ethics in International Affairs, 2018, vol. 32, no. 1, pp. 17-29.
  53. Schake K. America vs the West: Can the liberal order be preserved? Doclands, Penguin Books, 2018. 192 p.
  54. Mearshimer J. Bound to Fail: The Rise and Fall of the Liberal International Order. International Security, 2019, vol. 43, no. 4 (April), pp. 7-50. DOI:10.1162/isec_a_00343

Registered in System SCIENCE INDEX

For citation:
Shakhalilov S. Modern Western Studies at the New Stage of the World Order Crisis. World Eñonomy and International Relations, 2020, vol. 64, no. 4, pp. 96-105. https://doi.org/10.20542/0131-2227-2020-64-4-96-105



Comments (0)

No comments

Add comment







Indexed

 

 

 

 

Dear authors! Please note that in the VAK List of peer-reviewed scientific journals, in which the main scientific results of dissertations for the degree of candidate and doctor of sciences should be published for the “MEMO Journal” the following specialties are recorded:
economic sciences:
5.2.5. World Economy.
5.2.1. Economic Theory
5.2.3. Regional and Branch Economics
political sciences:
5.5.4. International Relations
5.5.1. History and Theory of Politics
5.5.2. Political Institutions, Processes, Technologies

 

Current Issue
2025, vol. 69, No. 2
Topical Themes of the Issue:
  • Battle of Titans: Structural Shifts in MNCs Global Production
  • Features of Collective Securitization in the European Union
  • Terrorist Networks of the “Global Jihad” in the 2020s
  • At Post-Soviet Space
Announcement

Dear authors of the journal!

Please note that the author's copies of the issues in which your texts are published are kept in the editorial office for no more than one year. After this period expires, the editorial office has the right to dispose of unclaimed copies at its own discretion.

 

Submit an Article
INVITATION FOR PUBLICATION
The Editorial Board invites authors to write analytical articles on the following topics:
  • changes in the processes of globalization in modern conditions
  • formation of the new world order
  • shifts in civilization at the stage of transition to a digital society

The editors are also interested in publishing synthesis articles / scientific reviews revealing the main trends in the development of certain regions of the world - Latin America, Africa, South Asia, etc.