Challenges of Maintaining the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons

296
DOI: 10.20542/0131-2227-2020-64-3-29-35
D. Selezneva (dselezneva@outlook.com),
Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations, Russian Academy of Sciences (IMEMO), 23, Profsoyuznaya Str., Moscow, 117997, Russian Federation

Abstract. Today, half a century after its inception, the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) faces a plethora of old and new challenges: first, the NTP states parties are now starting to walk away from their obligations under the Treaty; second, the Treaty’s articles are receiving multiple interpretations, which creates dangerous discrepancies; and, finally, non-proliferation regimes and norms are being undermined by military conflicts and political tensions. Divisions among the states parties over the way forward on disarmament, non-proliferation and peaceful uses of nuclear energy continue to grow amid the current tense international environment. Diplomacy, negotiations and dialogue take second place to platitudinous postulations and constant bickering. There is no consensus among the NPT states parties concerning the pathway for substantive nuclear disarmament. Nuclear weapons and ballistic missile program of the DPRK continues to pose both regional and global proliferation threat. The future of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) and Iran’s nuclear program is hanging in the air. At issue is the failure to make any tangible progress towards establishing a zone free of nuclear weapons and other weapons of mass destruction in the Middle East, which effectively became the main “apple of discord” during the previous review conference. There are strong chances that next year it will again become a highly contentious issue and lead the 2020 NPT Review Conference to the same fate that befall its predecessor. There is growing anxiety about the outcome of this crucial event. These challenges are as daunting as they are urgent and require immediate and concerted response from all the states parties to the NPT. Given the currently challenging international environment and the crisis in arms control regime, if two consecutive review conferences – one of which also marks the Treaty’s half century anniversary – fail to agree on an outcome document, it could have grave consequences for the NPT and the entire nuclear non-proliferation regime.

Keywords: Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, NPT Review Conference, nuclear disarmament, Middle East Weapons of Mass Destruction Free Zone (MEWMDFZ), Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), Iran’s nuclear program


REFERENCES

1. Berdennikov G. Perspektivy i vyzovy novogo obzornogo tsikla Dogovora o nerasprostranenii yadernogo oruzhiya (2016–2020 gg.) [Opportunities and Challenges of the New Review Cycle to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (2016–2020)] Available at: http://ceness-russia.org/data/page/p2072_1.pdf (accessed 26.02.2018).

2. Ul’yanov M., Lysenko M. Dogovor o nerasprostranenii yadernogo oruzhiya – itogi, vyzovy, perspektivy. K 50-letiyu Dogovora o nerasprostranenii yadernogo oruzhiya [Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons – Outcomes, Challenges, Prospects]. International Affairs, 2018, no. 6, pp. 7-14.

3. Ermakov V. “DZYaO ne pod silu razrushit’ osnovy DNYaO”: glava rossiiskoi delegatsii ob itogakh zhenevskogo Prepkoma DNYaO 2018 goda [“TPNW” Cannot Destroy the Basis of the NPT: Head of the Russian Delegation on the Outcomes of the 2018 NPT PrepCom in Geneva] Available at: http://pircenter.org/articles/2163-4374045 (accessed 31.01.2019).

4. Einhorn R. The NPT Review Process: Time to Try Something New. Available at: https://www.nonproliferation.org/the-nptreview-process-time-to-try-something-new/ (accessed 26.02.2019).

5. Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons. Available at: https://www.un.org/disarmament/wmd/nuclear/npt/text (accessed 24.02.2019).

6. Signature/Ratification Status of the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons. Available at: http://www.icanw.org/statusof-the-treaty-on-the-prohibition-of-nuclear-weapons/ (accessed 12.05.2019).

7. Statement by the Delegation of the Russian Federation on nuclear disarmament at the Second Session of the Preparatory Committee for the 2020 Review Conference of the Parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, Geneva, April 26, 2018. Available at: http://www.mid.ru/foreign_policy/news/-/asset_publisher/cKNonkJE02Bw/content/id/3195373?p_p_id=101_INSTANCE_cKNonkJE02Bw&_101_INSTANCE_cKNonkJE02Bw_languageId=en_GB (accessed 26.05.2019).

8. Statement by Vadim Smirnov Deputy Director of the Department for Nonproliferation and Arms Control Deputy Head of the Delegation of the Russian Federation at the Second Session of the Preparatory Committee for the 2020 Review Conference of the Parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (Cluster 1: Nuclear Disarmament). Geneva, April 26, 2019. Available at: http://statements.unmeetings.org/media2/18559498/russia-e-cluster-1-statement-russia-eng.pdf (accessed 12.06.2019).

9. Zhao T., Wang R. China and the Nuclear Weapons Prohibition Treaty. Available at: https://carnegietsinghua.org/2017/09/21/china-and-nuclear-weapons-prohibition-treaty-pub-73488 (accessed 23.05.2019).

10. Nuclear Posture Review. Office of the Secretary of Defense. February 2018, Washington, DC. Available: https://media.defense.gov/2018/Feb/02/2001872886/-1/-1/1/2018-NUCLEAR-POSTURE-REVIEW-FINAL-REPORT.PDF (accessed 12.03.2019).

11. Colby E. If You Want Peace Prepare for Nuclear War. Foreign Affairs, 2018, vol. 6, no. 97, pp. 25-32. Available at: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/china/2018-10-15/if-you-want-peace-prepare-nuclear-war (accessed 12.04.2019).

12. Creating the Conditions for Nuclear Disarmament (CCND). Working paper submitted by the United States of America. Available at: https://undocs.org/NPT/CONF.2020/PC.II/WP.30 (accessed 22.03.2019).

13. Deuxieme session du Comite preparatoire de la Conference d’examen du Traite sur la non-proliferation des armes nucleaires de 2020 (Geneve, 23 avril – 4 mai 2018). Intervention de Madame Alice Guitton, Representant permanent de la France aupres de la Conference du desarmement, Chef de la delegation francaise Geneve, le 23 avril 2018. Available at: http://statements.unmeetings.org/media2/18559222/france-newl.pdf (accessed 23.03.2019).

14. Statement by H. E. Ambassador Kim In-Chul Deputy Permanent Representative Permanent Mission of the Republic of Korea to the UN Secretariat and International Organizations in Geneva. General Debate. Second Session of the Preparatory Committee for the 2020 Review Conference of the Parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons. 23 April, 2018. Available at: http://statements.unmeetings.org/media2/18559181/republic-of-korea-2018-npt-prepcom-general-debate_rok.pdf (accessed 23.03.2019).

15. Statement by Director General Vladimir Ermakov, Head of the Delegation of the Russian Federation at Second Session of the Preparatory Committee for the 2020 Review Conference of the Parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons. Geneva, April 24, 2018. Available at: http://statements.unmeetings.org/media2/18559211/russia-printer_20180424_105255.pdf (accessed 23.03.2019).

16. Statement of the Republic of Poland General Debate – II NPT Preparatory Committee. Available at: http://statements.unmeetings.org/media2/18559156/poland-180420-statement-pl.pdf (accessed 23.03.2019).

17. 2018 Preparatory Committee for the 2020 Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty Review Conference. April 23 – May 4, 2018 in Geneva. General Debate. Statement Austria. Available at: http://statements.unmeetings.org/media2/18559153/austria-new-2018-npt-statement-general-debate-austria-1-.pdf (accessed 23.03.2019).

18. General Debate. Statement by Ambassador Michael Gaffey, Permanent Representative of Ireland to the United Nations and other International Organisations in Geneva at the 2018 Preparatory Conference of the Parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT). Geneva, 24 April, 2018. Available at: http://statements.unmeetings.org/media2/18559214/irland-national-statement-by-ireland-to-the-second-preparatory-committee-of-the-npt.pdf (accessed 23.03.2019).

19. Statement by H. E. Dell Higgie Ambassador for Disarmament and Permanent Representative of New Zealand to the Conference on Disarmament, Geneva on behalf of the New Agenda Coalition at the 2nd Preparatory Committee of 2020 Review Conference of the Parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons. General Debate. Geneva, 23 April 2018. Available at: http://statements.unmeetings.org/media2/18559138/new-zealand-behalf-new-agenda-coalationprinter_20180423_101036.pdf (accessed 23.03.2019).

20. Deuxieme session du Comite preparatoire de la Conference des Parties chargee d’examiner le Traite sur la non-proliferation des armes nucleaires en 2020. Geneve, le 25 avril 2018. Debat General. Declaration prononcee par S. E. Sabrina Dallafior Representante permanente de la Suisse aupres de la Conference du Desarmement. Avàilable at: http://statements.unmeetings.org/media2/18559386/switzerland-new-new-npt-2nd-prepcom-general-debate-statement-switzerland-3-.pdf (accessed 23.03.2019).

21. Arab Group Statement. Second Preparatory Committee for the 2020 Review Conference of the Parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT). Special Regional Issues Including the Implementation of the 1995 ME Resolution. Available at: https://papersmart.unmeetings.org/media2/18559724/arab-group-e-cluster-2-specific-issues-english-translation.pdf (accessed 14.05.2019).

22. Operationalizing the Creating an Environment for Nuclear Disarmament (CEND) Initiative. Working paper submitted by the United States of America. NPT/CONF.2020/PC.III/WP.43. Available at: https://undocs.org/NPT/CONF.2020/PC.III/WP.43 (accessed 16.06.2019).

23. Onderco M. Likely Impact of the Ban Treaty on the NPT Review Process. Available at: https://www.iir.cz/article/likelyimpact-of-the-ban-treaty-on-the-npt-review-process (accessed 23.06.2019).

24. Establishing Regional Conditions Conducive to a Middle East Free of Weapons of Mass Destruction and Delivery Systems. Working paper submitted by the United States of America. NPT/CONF.2020/PC.II/WP.33. Available at: https://undocs.org/NPT/CONF.2020/PC.II/WP.33 (accessed 13.05.2019).

25. Resolution on the Middle East, NPT/CONF.1995/32 (Part I), Annex. Available at: https://unoda-web.s3-accelerate.amazonaws.com/wp-content/uploads/assets/WMD/Nuclear/1995-NPT/pdf/Resolution_MiddleEast.pdf (accessed 13.03.2019).

26. Statement by the delegation of the Republic of Indonesia on behalf of the Non-Aligned Movement States Parties to the NPT. Cluster 2 Specific Issue: Regional issues, including with respect to the Middle East and implementation of the 1995 Middle East Resolution. Second Preparatory Committee for the 2020 Review Conference of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons. Geneva, 30 April 2018. Available at: http://statements.unmeetings.org/media2/18559664/indonesia-namprinter_20180430_150923.pdf (24.06.2019).

27. Statement by the delegation of the Russian Federation at the Second Session of the Preparatory Committee for the 2020 Review Conference of the Parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons on the Establishment of a Middle East Zone Free of Nuclear Weapons and all Other Weapons of Mass Destruction. Geneva, April 30, 2018. Available at: http://statements.unmeetings.org/media2/18559691/russia-e-cluster‑2-specific-issue-russia-eng.pdf (accessed 14.06.2019).

28. Convening a Conference on the Establishment of a Middle East Zone Free of Nuclear Weapons and Other Weapons of Mass Destruction, A/C.1/73/L.22/REV.1. Available at: https://undocs.org/A/C.1/73/L.22/REV.1 (accessed 23.06.2019).

29. Resolution Adopted by the General Assembly on 5 December 2018. The Risk of Nuclear Proliferation in the Middle East, A/RES/73/83. Available at: https://undocs.org/en/A/RES/73/83 (accessed 23.03.2019).

30. Political declaration adopted at the first session of the Conference on the Establishment of a Middle East Zone Free of Nuclear Weapons and Other Weapons of Mass Destruction. A/CONF.236/6. Available at: https://www.un.org/disarmament/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/A-conf-236-6-annex.pdf (accessed 22.12.2019).

31. Statement by Vadim Smirnov, Deputy Director of the Department for Non-Proliferation and Arms Control, Deputy Head of the Delegation of the Russian Federation at the Second Session of the Preparatory Committee for the 2020 Review Conference of the Parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (Cluster 2: Non-Proliferation and IAEA Safeguards). Available at: http://statements.unmeetings.org/media2/18559625/russia-new-english-cluster-2-russia-eng.pdf (accessed 12.22.2019).

32. Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons: Addressing the Nuclear Challenge of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea. NPT/CONF.2020/PC.II/9. Available at: https://undocs.org/NPT/CONF.2020/PC.II/9 (accessed 20.02.2019).

33. North Korea “Halts Missile and Nuclear Tests”, Says Kim Jong-Un. Available at: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-43846488 (accessed 06.02.2019).


Registered in System SCIENCE INDEX

For citation:
Selezneva D. Challenges of Maintaining the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons. World Eñonomy and International Relations, 2020, vol. 64, no. 3, pp. 29-35. https://doi.org/10.20542/0131-2227-2020-64-3-29-35



Comments (0)

No comments

Add comment







Indexed

 

 

 

 

Dear authors! Please note that in the VAK List of peer-reviewed scientific journals, in which the main scientific results of dissertations for the degree of candidate and doctor of sciences should be published for the “MEMO Journal” the following specialties are recorded:
economic sciences:
5.2.5. World Economy.
5.2.1. Economic Theory
5.2.3. Regional and Branch Economics
political sciences:
5.5.4. International Relations
5.5.1. History and Theory of Politics
5.5.2. Political Institutions, Processes, Technologies

 

Current Issue
2024, vol. 68, No. 11
Topical Themes of the Issue:
  • U.S. Protectionism Against China’s Mercantilism  
  • U.S. Military Cooperation with Its Allies in Northeast Asia 
  • Russia Under the Conditions of Global Economy Regionalization
  • Greater Middle East
Announcement

Dear authors of the journal!

Please note that the author's copies of the issues in which your texts are published are kept in the editorial office for no more than one year. After this period expires, the editorial office has the right to dispose of unclaimed copies at its own discretion.

 

Submit an Article
INVITATION FOR PUBLICATION
The Editorial Board invites authors to write analytical articles on the following topics:
  • changes in the processes of globalization in modern conditions
  • formation of the new world order
  • shifts in civilization at the stage of transition to a digital society

The editors are also interested in publishing synthesis articles / scientific reviews revealing the main trends in the development of certain regions of the world - Latin America, Africa, South Asia, etc.