Financial System Stability and Central Bank’s Reaction Function

404
DOI: 10.20542/0131-2227-2014-8-14-24

N. Korzhenevskii, National Research University Higher School of Economics, 20 Myasnitskaya Str., Moscow, 101000, Russian Federation (nkorzhenevskiy@hse.ru).


Abstract

The paper argues that financial system stability has become a target variable for the Federal Reserve System, European Central Bank and the Bank of England, and monetary policy since at least 2008 has been largely driven by its consideration. The author develops a simple formal model quantifying a central bank’s typical response to a change in general volatility levels showing that this has been a statistically stable relationship, even well before the subprime crisis in the USA. The relationship can be used by practitioners in order to determine the timing or conditions appropriate to expect a policy change given central bank’s behavioristic pattern.  The use of unconventional measures is considered for the post-crisis period, with short-term rate expectations brought to the forefront. Quantitative easing is perceived as one of two main tools to anchor rate expectations. It is assumed that in all cases monetary policy has been successful in achieving its immediate targets so far, and market-observed rate expectations can be deemed acceptable to achieve primary policy goals.


Keywords

unconventional monetary policy, central banks, volatility, rate expectations, quantitative easing, hidden function, policy rule


Registered in System SCIENCE INDEX

For citation:
Korzhenevskii N. Financial System Stability and Central Bank’s Reaction Function . World Eñonomy and International Relations, 2014, No 8, pp. 14-24. https://doi.org/10.20542/0131-2227-2014-8-14-24



Comments (0)

No comments

Add comment







Indexed

 

 

 

 

Current Issue
2022, vol. 66, No. 6
Topical Themes of the Issue:
  •  China on the Eve of the 20th CPC Congress 
  •  2020 Elections: “Stress Test” for American Federalism 
  •  The Chancellor O. Scholz’s Policy in the Context of Global Transformation 
  •  The EU China Policy in the Making: The Role of Central and Eastern Europe 
  •  Pan-European Political Space: From Idea to Reality
View This Issue (2022, vol. 66, No. 6)
Submit an Article
NEW SECTION

In response to the challenges of our time the Editorial board continues to open new thematic rubrics:

“World Energy Sector after Pandemic”. We plan to publish articles presenting in-depth analysis of influence of Pandemic on the global energy sector and forecasts of further developments in its various branches.