Main Regions and Civilizational Entities in the 21st Century World: Essay of Developmental Prognosis (the end)

DOI: 10.20542/0131-2227-2014-7-107-119

Abstract. A.V. Akimov and A.I. Yakovlev in their presentation examine long-term perspectives of the world development (up to 2100) observing mainly demographic and resource trends. Their analysis is placed in the context of civilizations. The authors suggest four scenarios: 1) convergence of civilizations; 2) the West keeps its leadership; 3) leadership passes to the East and the South; 4) struggle for resources. The reforms necessary to stimulate the process of development are also examined. These points are discussed at the seminar.

Keywords: long-term prognosis, demographic transition, resource consumption, scenarios of evolution, globalization, modernization, reform, developmental crises, new technologies

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For citation:
Main Regions and Civilizational Entities in the 21st Century World: Essay of Developmental Prognosis (the end). World Eonomy and International Relations, 2014, no. 7, pp. 107-119.

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