Main Regions and Civilizational Entities in the 21st Century World: Essay of Developmental Prognosis (the end)

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DOI: 10.20542/0131-2227-2014-7-107-119

Abstract. A.V. Akimov and A.I. Yakovlev in their presentation examine long-term perspectives of the world development (up to 2100) observing mainly demographic and resource trends. Their analysis is placed in the context of civilizations. The authors suggest four scenarios: 1) convergence of civilizations; 2) the West keeps its leadership; 3) leadership passes to the East and the South; 4) struggle for resources. The reforms necessary to stimulate the process of development are also examined. These points are discussed at the seminar.

Keywords: long-term prognosis, demographic transition, resource consumption, scenarios of evolution, globalization, modernization, reform, developmental crises, new technologies


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For citation:
Main Regions and Civilizational Entities in the 21st Century World: Essay of Developmental Prognosis (the end). World Eonomy and International Relations, 2014, no. 7, pp. 107-119. https://doi.org/10.20542/0131-2227-2014-7-107-119



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Dear authors! Please note that in the VAK List of peer-reviewed scientific journals, in which the main scientific results of dissertations for the degree of candidate and doctor of sciences should be published for the “MEMO Journal” the following specialties are recorded:
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