The author proposes a forecast concerning the development of the Northern Europe countries up to 2030. The region is in direct dependence on international political developments. At least, these include: global change of the West’s role and place in the next world; the relative reduction of the role of the United States in the system of the Transatlantic connections; transformation of the EU as an independent “center of power”. Therefore, it is important to assess not only different national factors and correlation between internal and external driving forces in their development process, but also some “invariables” relating to the status of states under consideration.