
Decline of Europe 2.0 in context of global demographic reshuffling. Terra Economicus 23(3), 50–67 (in Russian). DOI: 10.18522/2073-6606-2025-23-3-50-67
ISSN 2073-6606
The article substantiates the emergence of the phenomenon called "Decline of Europe" in the early 21st century. Unlike the previous phase ("Decline of Europe 1.0"), this decline is not associated with erroneous policies by European countries, which are fraught with their transition to the category of semiperipheral or even peripheral countries. This phenomenon is based on the demographic reshuffling that took place at the beginning of the 21st century and continues to this day. The demographic forecast for the major countries of the world suggests that by the mid-century, Germany and Britain, two largest European countries, will fall in the international demographic ranking from the top ten (which they occupied in the 1960s), to the third ten in terms of population, turning from leading powers to medium-sized and small states. The article also reveals and supports the "Demography → Economy → Technology" rule, according to which population growth of a state precedes economic growth, which in turn precedes technological progress. This rule leads to cycles of capital accumulation, demographic shifts and geopolitical inversions, with the inherent change of leading countries in the world economic system. The current stage of world geopolitics is characterized by this process. The objective nature of the "Demography → Economy → Technology" rule leads to fatalism when "Decline of Europe 2.0" is no longer dependent on the decisions by European politicians.
Keywords: demography | population size | public policy | economic growth | economies of scale |
Russian Science Citation Index
OTHER PUBLICATIONS ON THIS TOPIC
Varnavskii Vladimir
Инновационный рост мировой экономики: основные тренды и перспективы [Текст] / В.Г. Варнавский // Друкеровский вестник. – 2017. – № 1. – С. 5-15.
Klinova Marina
The role of State in France Economy: test for Coronavirus
Balatsky Evgeniy, Ekimova Natalya
A conceptual model of Russia’s long-term development amid new challenges
Adno Yuri
Год 2016-й: экономический рост в обход России [Текст] / Ю.Л. Адно // Металлы Евразии. – 2016. – № 1. – С. 8 – 14.
Kriukov V., Medzhidova Dzhanneta
Арктические активы - от масштаба к трансформности // ЭКО. 2021. № 1 (559). С. 8-39. DOI 10.30680/ECO0131-7652-2021-1-8-39.
Monusova Galina, Gimpelson V.
Fear of Unemployment: Cross-Country Comparisons / V. Gimpelson, G. Monusova
Salitskii Alexander
Inflation and economic growth in the PRC
Bogaevskaya Oksana
Рынок труда США: тенденции и вызовы // США и Канада: экономика, политика, культура. 2023. № 8. С. 17-26. DOI 10.31857/S2686673023080023.
Balatsky Evgeniy
Evolution of colonial and neocolonial models in geopolitical dominance. Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast, 18(1), С. 46–65. DOI: 10.15838/esc.2025.1.97.2
The role of mining industry in economy
Aleshin Alexander
Стратегия Великобритании в Африке южнее Сахары после Брекзита // Азия и Африка сегодня. 2020. № 12. С. 27-33. DOI 10.31857/S032150750012795-6.
Zhukova Tatiana
Банковские кризисы и экономический рост в современном мире // Банковские услуги. 2023. № 8. С. 17-24. DOI 10.36992/2075-1915_2023_8_17.
Sidorova Elena
Anti-crisis programmes in Germany and Great Britain / Sidorova E.A. // World Economics. – 2010. – No 4. – 2010. – P. 29-37.
Bragina Elena
India-2021: Middle class in pandemic conditions
National areas in system of federal relations
Balatsky Evgeniy, Ekimova Natalya
Russia facing demographic challenges: threats and opportunities. Lomonosov Economics Journal, 60(4), 206–230. https://doi. org/10.55959/MSU0130-0105-6-60-4-11
Ekimova Natalya
Моделирование демографического роста в России: факторы, механизмы, резервы
Kondrat’ev Vladimir
Минерально-сырьевые ресурсы как фактор экономического роста и глобальной конкурентоспособности [Текст] / В.Б. Кондратьев // Горная промышленность. – 2014. – № 1. – С. 6 – 11.
Kanaev Evgeny, Akhmanaeva S., Vaseneva E.A.
Achieving the Vision of the ASEAN Economic Community-2025: The Role of ASEAN Business Advisory Council
Mirkin Yakov
Новая экономическая политика для России // Научные труды Вольного экономического общества России. 2021. Т. 227, № 1. С. 115-127. DOI 10.38197/2072-2060-2021-227-1-115-127.
Related publications






No comments