Mirkin Yakov
Sudden Turn
Publication Type:


ISSN 2221-2264

The article reveals the main constraints to the economic development and growth in Russia, stemming from the current economic model, the nature of the financial system, and the existing global risks and conflicts. The basic scenarios according to which the macroeconomic situation in Russia will develop are given. The probability of possible scenarios is estimated, taking into account the standards of social behaviour and the traditional cultural values. We discuss in detail the strategy of “sudden turn”, based on a pragmatic liberalism, the principles of developmental economics and the experiences of countries that have achieved the economic miracle after World War II. Moreover, the article discloses the components of macroeconomic policy that might lead Russia to the path of outrunning economic growth and “catching up” modernization. In particular, it shows the key elements of monetary, interest rate, exchange rate, fiscal, tax, investment, price, and capital account policies, as well as policies in the fields of ownership and anti-monopoly regulation. 

Keywords: economic reality | scenario | catching up modernization | economic miracle | developmental state | pragmatic liberalism | developmental finance |

Russian Science Citation Index



OTHER PUBLICATIONS ON THIS TOPIC

Mirkin Yakov
Трансформация в социальную рыночную экономику - миф или реальность для России // Экономическое возрождение России. 2021. № 1 (67). С. 48-53. DOI 10.37930/1990-9780-2021-1-67-48-53.

Zhukova Tatiana
Financial Formula for Spanish Economic Miracle

Mirkin Yakov
The Russian economy: growth under sanctions (future scenarios)

Mirkin Yakov
Финансовый форсаж [Текст] / Я. М. Миркин // Банковские услуги. – 2018. – № 10. – С. 2-7.

Gel'bras Vilia
30 лет реформ открытости Китая / В.Г. Гельбрас // Общественные науки и современность. – 2009. – № 3. – С. 109–117.

Nochevkina Louisa
Will the economic miracle in Russia? World experience of market reforms. Moscow, Strelets, 1999. 120 p.

Mirkin Yakov
Новая экономическая политика для России // Научные труды Вольного экономического общества России. 2021. Т. 227, № 1. С. 115-127. DOI 10.38197/2072-2060-2021-227-1-115-127.

Avtonomov Vladimir
Which human qualities can economic liberalism be based on?

Sheinis Viktor
Russia’s National Security. Durability Trial (Part 1).

Kamensakya Galina
World without Modernity

Yemelyanova Olesya, Shcherbakov Denis
Land Tax Reform in Meiji Japan and Its Outcomes

Gadzhiev Kamaludin
Liberal-Conservative Consensus in the Western Countries

Shishkov Yu.
Модернизация. Машинное отделение / Ю.В. Шишков // Прямые инвестиции. – 2010. – № 10. – С. 36–38.

Kamensakya Galina
«Теоретическая лаборатория» современного либерализма [Текст] / Г. В. Каменская // Власть. – 2018. – № 8. – С. 53-59. DOI: 10.31171/vlast.v26i8.6044.

Klinova Marina
A View in the Retrospect of Time: A History of State and Business Interaction. Russian and Soviet Marxism on the State’s Role in the Economy // Economic Strategies. – 2017. – No 5 (147). – P. 200–213.

Mirkin Yakov , Dobachina I.
Russian economy: Challenges and scenarios of volatile future

Lunev Sergey
Impact of civilizational specifics of the biggest countries on their social, political and economic development: a comparative analysis [Text] е / S.I. Lunev, A.D. Voskressenski // Sravnitelnaya politika-Comparative politics. – 2016. – Vol. 7. – № 3(24). – P. 85 – 106.

Kuzmina Elena
Modernization of the Caspian States economy (Kazakhstan as an example)

Yemelyanova Olesya
Comparative analysis of "catch-up modernization" models in Russia and Japan

Kuzmina Elena
Работать на равных. Для более глубокой экономической интеграции России и Беларуси предстоит принять ряд серьезных решений [Текст] / Е. М. Кузьмина // Союзное государство. – 2019. – № 3. – С. 26-28.
Related publications


Comments (0)

No comments

Add comment







First news
Institute News
10/06/2022

The next issue of the journal ME & MO (No. 6, 2022), which opens with a panoramic article by V. Mikheev and S. Lukonin, has been published. The authors dedicated it to China on the eve of the 20th CPC Congress. In the economic block of the magazine special attention is paid to digital currencies.

more...

09/06/2022

An article by Marina Klinova «The State and Energy Security in the World and Europe as a Public Good» was published in the June issue of the journal «Voprosy Ekonomiki» ("Economic Issues") under the heading "International Economics" (in Russian).

more...

Recently Published