
Will Biden could withdraw the US forces from Afghanistan?
ISSN 2075-4140
DOI: 10.33920/vne-01-2103-02
The article analyzes the military operation of the United States and its NATO allies in Afghanistan, which lasted for 20 years, and the prospects for the withdrawal of all foreign troops from this country. The author states that the new US President D. Biden does not abandon the foreign policy course pursued by his predecessors earlier to reduce the US military presence in Afghanistan. Moreover, the new president reaffi rmed his commitment to the peace agreement between the United States and the opposition Taliban, reached in the Qatari capital of Doha in February 2020, which provides for the withdrawal of US troops and their NATO allies from the country. However, the author comes to the conclusion that due to a number of objective and subjective factors, the timing of the fi nal withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan may be postponed indefi nitely, and even the deadline recently declared by the White House on September 11, 2021, may be far from fi nal and may be repeatedly subjected to revisions. The main obstacle to the implementation of this important clause of the bilateral agreement is the lack of progress in negotiations between the Taliban representatives and the central government, as well as the lack of security guarantees for the withdrawn contingent of the US Armed Forces, NATO and the remaining staff of Western foreign missions in Afghanistan. Not only the radical Taliban wing, but also a number of current ministers in Kabul are trying to sabotage the conclusion of a second peace agreement and the subsequent integration of the Taliban into power. Without a lasting agreement between the Taliban and the central authorities in Kabul and the formation of a new coalition government, the likelihood of a resumption of civil war in the country will remain. New terrorist attacks and outbursts of violence on the part of the radical wing of the Taliban movement against the central government and foreign troops are not excluded. The penetration of Islamic State gangs into Afghanistan, which can undermine the stability of the military-political situation from within and provoke new armed confl icts, also carries certain risks. Much will also depend on the position of one of the main external players in Afghan aff airs — Islamabad. Time will show whether Pakistan will be ready to take on part of the functions of a peaceful settlement within the Afghan confl ict. The US administration would like more participation in stabilizing the further situation in Afghanistan from other regional forces (China, Russia, India, Iran, Turkey, Uzbekistan).
Keywords: military operation | the Taliban movement | the Doha peace agreement | terrorist groups | the withdrawal of US and NATO troops |
OTHER PUBLICATIONS ON THIS TOPIC
Stepanova Ekaterina
Россия, США и противодействие наркотрафику из Афганистана [Текст] / Е.А. Степанова // Pro et Contra. – 2013. – Т. 17. – 6 (61). –C. 102 – 119.
Stepanova Ekaterina
Политика России по Сирии на этапе военного вмешательства [Текст] / Е. Степанова // ПОНАРС Евразия. Аналитические записки. – 2016. – № 421. – С. 1 – 9.
Khokhlov Igor
Тень и свет Хавалы. Финансовая система эпохи средневековья в условиях глобализации / Военно-промышленный курьер. № 16 (182) за 25.04.2007
Ivanov Stanislav
Международный терроризм: причины его возникновения и меры противодействия [Текст] / С.М. Иванов // Зарубежное военное обозрение. – 2014. – № 2 (803). – С.8 – 13.
Terrorism: Patterns of Internationalization / Ed. by Jaideep Saikia and Ekaterina Stepanova. New Dehli; L., Singapore: Sage, 2009, 266 p.
Ivanov Stanislav
Сирийский конфликт – эпицентр нестабильности в регионе [Текст] / С.М. Иванов // Обозреватель-Observer. – 2019. – № 5 (352). – С. 21-30.
Kvashnin Yuri
The Prespa agreement and prospects for resolving the Macedonian name dispute
Ivanov Stanislav
К 50-летию ввода войск Варшавского договора в Чехословакию. Из воспоминаний участника событий [Текст] / С.М. Иванов // Обозреватель-Observer. – 2018. – № 7 (342). – С. 93-103.
Rogozhina Natalia
The Problem of the Deep South of Thailand – Separatism of the Malay Muslims. Outlines of global transformations: politics, economics, law. 2021;14(1):176-193. https://doi.org/10.23932/2542-0240-2021-14-1-9
Terrorism: Patterns of Internationalization. Ed. by J.Saikia and E.Stepanova. London, New Dehli, Singapore, Sage, 2009.
Malysheva Dina
Центральная Азия и вывод войск МССБ из Афганистана [Текст] / Д.Б. Малышева // Россия и мусульманский мир. – 2013. – № 7. – С. 85 – 94.
Oznobishchev S.
Отношения Россия-НАТО: деградация или ревитализация? [Текст] / С. К. Ознобищев // Европейская безопасность: события, оценки, прогнозы. – 2019. – № 54 (70). – С. 2-6.
Ivanov Stanislav
Rise of the Kurdistan Factor in Regional Geopolitics [Text] / S. Ivanov // World Eсonomy and International Relations. — 2015. — No 10. — P. 84-93
Frolov Alexander
Администрация Байдена и ближневосточное наследие США // Обозреватель-Observer. 2021. № 5 (376). С. 29-46. DOI 10.48137/2074-2975_2021_5_29.
Bakhriev B., Rustamova Leili
Soft Power of a Military Organization: NATO’s Public Diplomacy in Central Asia
Frolov Alexander
Военная дипломатия как история и искусство / А.В. Фролов // Международная жизнь. – 2012. – № 2. – С. 169–178. – Рец. на кн.: История военной дипломатии. В 4-х т./ В.И. Винокуров. – М.: Инженер, 2011.
Romashkina Natalia, Fominykh T.
Социальные сети: новые возможности или угрозы? [Текст] / Н.П. Ромашкина, Т.И. Фоминых // Информационные войны. – 2017. – № 3 (43). – С. 16-27.
Kapelyushnikov Rostislav
Job Turnover: What the Russian Statistics Tells Us
Stepanova Ekaterina
Афганистан после 2014: перспективы для России // Russie.Nei.Visions, Париж: ИФРИ, май 2013, № 71.
Stefanovich Dmitry
Вечно сегодняшние // Россия в глобальной политике. 2021. Т. 19, № 6 (112). С. 61-74. DOI 10.31278/1810-6439-2021-19-6-61-74.
Related publications






No comments