Varnavskii Vladimir
Digitalization as a Driver of Economic Growth
Publication Type:


ISSN 0869-0499

The purpose of this paper is to assess the impact of digitalization on global economic growth and employment over the past 20-30 years. The waves of digitalization are highlighted, the dynamics and components of its material basis - the Information and Communication Technology (ICT) - are studied. Methods of mathematical statistics and common methods for analyzing time series, economic cycles and trends, structural shifts, regressions were used. Databases of such specialized agencies as UNCTAD, WTO, OECD, the US National Scientific Council, the Bureau of Economic Analysis USA, etc. are used as the main sources of digital and factual information. The main trends of the last 10-15 years have been calculated and justified: the exit of the ГСС complex after the crisis of 2008-2009 to stationary growth trajectories; the beginning of the second wave of digitalization in 2015-2016, intensified by the COVID-19 pandemic; the advanced development of ГСС services, etc.


Keywords: digitalization | world economy | economic growth | drivers of growth | ICT | R&D |

Russian Science Citation Index



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