Kapelyushnikov Rostislav
Is technological change a devourer of jobs?
Publication Type:


ISSN 0042-8736

The paper provides a critical analysis of the idea of technological unemployment. The overview of the existing literature on the employment effects of technological change shows that on the micro-level there exists strong and positive relationship between innovations and employment growth in firms; on the sectoral level this correlation becomes ambiguous; on the macro-level the impact of new technologies seems to be positive or neutral. This implies that fears of explosive growth of technological unemployment in the foreseeable future are exaggerated. Our analysis further suggests that new technologies affect mostly the structure of employment rather than its level. Additionally we argue that automation and digitalisation would change mostly task sets within particular occupations rather than distribution of workers by occupations. 

Keywords: technological change | labor demand | compensation theory | techno­logical unemployment | computerization | robotics |

Russian Science Citation Index



OTHER PUBLICATIONS ON THIS TOPIC

Kapelyushnikov Rostislav
Влияние четвертной промышленной революции на рынок труда [Текст] / Р. И. Капелюшников // Аист на крыше. Демографический журнал. – 2018. – № 6(6). – С. 32-36.

Vedeneeva Valentina
Migrants on the Russian Labor Market.

Obolenskiy Vladimir
Технологическая модернизация промышленности: вклад импорта / В.П. Оболенский // Российский внешнеэкономический вестник. – 2010. – № 8. – С. 33–38.

Trofimova Olga
Role of foreign migrants in the process of formation of human capital in the EU countries

Pankova Ludmila
Evolution of the USA Defense Research and Development: Amount and Structure of Financing

Volkov Aleksei , Setkaliev Roman
Технологическая безработица и безусловный базовый доход // Россия и современный мир. 2021. № 4 (113). С. 101-120. DOI 10.31249/rsm/2021.04.05.

Kapelyushnikov Rostislav
Demand and Supply of Skilled Labor in Russia: Who Ran Faster? Part I / R. Kapelyushnikov

Kapelyushnikov Rostislav
Demand and Supply of Skilled Labor in Russia: Who Ran Faster? Part II / R. Kapelyushnikov

Pankova Ludmila
Innovation Breakthroughs in the United States: Strategic Determinants and Dividends

Borisov Stanislav
Золото в современном мире. М., Наука, 2006, 247 с.

Grigoriev Leonid
The Demand for Law on the Part of Elites: «The Effect of the Tram» / L. Grigoriev

Chetverikova Anna
Структурные изменения в экономиках стран Вишеградской группы // Российский экономический журнал. 2020. № 3. С. 77-89. DOI 10.33983/0130-9757-2020-3-77-89.

Ivanova Natalya
Технологический рывок в современной экономике [Текст] / Н. И. Иванова // Научные труды Вольного экономического общества России. – 2019. – Т. 218. – № 4. – С. 329-338.

Kapelyushnikov Rostislav
Older workers in the Russian labor market: Trends in employment reallocation

Adno Yuri
Metallurgy on the stage of transition to the new technological order / Adno Yu. L.

Olenchenko Vladimir
Страны Балтии: теория и практика социального государства [Текст] / В.А. Оленченко // Обозреватель – Observer. – 2014. – № 11. – С. 40 – 48.

Kapelyushnikov Rostislav
Конец российской модели рынка труда? М., Фонд «Либеральная миссия», 2009, 72 с.

Khokhlova Marina
К вопросу о профессионально-производственных ресурсах безработных в 1992-2002 гг. / Безработица в постсоветской России (социальная компонента).Социально-трудовые исследования. Выпуск ХVII. М.: ИМЭМО РАН, 2005, С. 64-77

, Khokhlova Marina
Основные тенденции изменения численности и состава российских безработных в начале ХХI века / Безработица в постсоветской России (социальная компонента).Социально-трудовые исследования. Выпуск ХVII. М.: ИМЭМО РАН, 2005, С.27-63

Kapelyushnikov Rostislav , Vishnevskaya N.
Phenomenon of Russian Unemployment: Dynamics, Structure, Specific Features. Moscow, Moscow Public Science Foundation, 2003.
Related publications


Comments (0)

No comments

Add comment







First news
Institute News
17/07/2024

A meeting of the Academic council of IMEMO was hold at the Academician N.N. Inozemtsev conference hall.

more...

10/07/2024

The next issue of the MEMO Journal (No. 7 for 2024) opens with the topical rubric "Security Problems in the Modern World", which features articles by A. Arbatov "The Bearing Structure of Global Security" and A. Krivopalov "The Southern Flank of U.S. Deployment in Eastern Europe".

more...

Recently Published