Work routines and risks of automation in the Russian labor market
ISSN 0042-8736
DOI 10.32609/0042-8736-2022-8-68-94
The study explores routine and non-routine content of job tasks across occupations in the Russian labor market. Each occupation contains a bundle of job tasks, which can be routine or non-routine, cognitive or manual. Occupations, in which most job tasks are routine, are under the risk of automation, and therefore their future is of concern. Our empirical analysis uses three main data sources that contain information in the detailed occupational breakdown: on employment, on the extent of routinization, and on annual labor incomes. This data set allows to estimate task indices for disaggregated occupations and different socio-economic groups and also present empirical estimates of wage penalties and premiums for workers with different job content. The calculations suggest that the proportion of jobs in which routine tasks tend to prevail is not large and hardly exceeds 10%. From this follows that a massive substitution of labor by machines or AI in foreseeable future does not look like a plausible option. Content of job tasks is expectedly associated with the level of pay: workers with non-routine cognitive tasks are better rewarded, and non-routine manual tasks are the most penalized. A polarization scenario feared by some observers does not seem a likely option in Russia for years to come.
Keywords: labor market | occupations | automation | Russia |
OTHER PUBLICATIONS ON THIS TOPIC
Kapelyushnikov Rostislav
The Russian Labor Market: Paradoxes of Post-crisis Performance
Sadovaya Elena
Professional Education in The Post – Industrial Economy : Challenges of Digital Transformation
Shlikhter Alexey
Влияние четвертой промышленной революции на формирование человеческого капитала и эволюция мирового рынка труда // Общество и экономика. 2020. № 4. С. 56-72. DOI 10.31857/S086904990009179-8.
Bogaevskaya Oksana
Рынок труда США: тенденции и вызовы // США и Канада: экономика, политика, культура. 2023. № 8. С. 17-26. DOI 10.31857/S2686673023080023.
Kapelyushnikov Rostislav
The Russian labor market: A statistical portrait on the crises background. Voprosy Ekonomiki. 2023;(8):5-37. (In Russ.)
Kapelyushnikov Rostislav
Российский рынок труда: адаптация без реструктуризации. М., ГУВШЭ, 2001, 22,5 п.л.
Kapelyushnikov Rostislav
The Russian Labour Market Model Trial by Recession
Chetverikova Anna
Czech Labour Market: Long-Standing Problems and New Challenges
Kapelyushnikov Rostislav , Gimpelson V.
Choice of Occupation: Where Have We Studied and Where Are We Working?
Volkov Aleksei , Belukhin Nikita
Интеграция иммигрантов на рынке труда Дании [Электронный ресурс] / А.М. Волков, Белухин Н.Е. // Мировое и национальное хозяйство. – 2018. – № 4(46). – URL: http://mirec.ru/2018-04/the-integration-of-immigrants-on-the-labour-market-of-denmark
Social and Labor Studies. Issue 21. Ed. by Komarovsky V.V., Sadovaya E.S., Andrukovich L.N., Vedeneyeva V.T. Moscow, IMEMO RAN, 2008.
Khokhlova Marina
Профессионально-возрастной состав неформально занятых / Современные проблемы трансформации российского рынка труда и связанных с ним социально-трудовых отношений. Социально-трудовые исследования. Выпуск ХХ. М.: ИМЭМО РАН, 2007, С. 29-41
Kirichenko Irina
Амбициозные и бессмысленные /И.В. Кириченко = Анастасия Матвеева // Эксперт. 2014. – № 3 (882). – С. 66 – 71
Labor Market: Economic Crisis Reaction. Editors: Burdzhalov F., Gontmakher Y. Moscow, IMEMO RAN, 2011, 184 p.
Komarovskiy Victor, Sadovaya Elena
Prospects for the Development of Social and Labor Relations in Present-day Russia. «Social and Labor Studies», Issue 16. Moscow, IMEMO RAN, 2003.
Kondrat’ev Vladimir
Бизнес на основе этики и честного труда / В.Б. Кондратьев // Прямые инвестиции. – 2009. – № 3. – С. 56-59.
Sadovaya Elena
Механизм формирования неравенства на рынке труда в цифровую эпоху // Социально-трудовые исследования. 2021. № 3 (44). С. 32-44. DOI 10.34022/2658-3712-2021-44-3-132-143.
Syndyashkina Evgeniya
Государственная политика на рынке труда в странах ЕС: основные тенденции и направления трансформации // Социально-трудовые исследования. 2022. № 3 (48). С. 67-80. DOI 10.34022/2658-3712-2022-48-3-67-80.
Kapelyushnikov Rostislav
The anatomy of the corona crisis through the lens of the labor market adjustment
Kapelyushnikov Rostislav ,
Paradoxes of reservation wage setting in the Russian labor market. Part II
Related publications
No comments