Afontsev Sergey , Kobrinskaya Irina, Machavariani Givi , Zagorskii Andrei, Zhuravleva Victoria, Zvyagelskaya Irina, Voda Kristina, Kozhanov Nikolai, Davydov Alexey, Davydov Oleg, Dmitriev Sergey, Lomanov Alexander, Lukonin Sergey, Malysheva Dina, Mikheev Vasily , Rabotyazhev Nikolay, Svistunova Irina, Ibragimov Ibragim, Kislitsyn Sergey, Solovyev Eduard, Kuzmina Elena, Surkov Nikolay, Utkin Sergey, Fedorovsky Aleksander , Frumkin Boris, Shvydko Vitaly, Kanaev Evgeny, Samarskaya Lyudmila
Russia and the world: 2020 IMEMO forecast // New Perspectives. 2020. DOI 10.1177/2336825X20954758. URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/2336825X20954758. Published online: 16.09.2020.
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DOI 10.1177/2336825X20954758

The editors had to make significant adjustments to this abridged version of IMEMO’s annual‘Russia and the World’forecast published in early January 2020. However, none of the numerousforecasts published until March 2020 had been anywhere close to considering, among the potential‘black swan’factors, the global scenario caused by COVID-19. No one had anticipated the scale ofthe pandemic and its consequences for the world economy and trade, including the fall in oil pricesand the reaction of financial markets.





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