Russia and the World: 2016. IMEMO Forecast [Text] / A. Dynkin, V. Baranovsky, I. Kobrinskaya, G. Machavariani et al. // New Perspectives. 2015. V. 24. Issue 2. P. 93 122.
Publication Type:


ISSN 1210-762X

This forecast examines the major trends in Russia’s relations with the world and in the Russian view of the world in 2016. The forecast looks firstly at Russia’s role in the world in the context of the extant and emergent state of geopolitics. In a confused international environment, caught between the multiple, discordant and disorderly games of checkers of the present and the emerging design of a new grand chessboard for international relations, Russia and the West have been forced into cooperation. While far from easy and far from guaranteed to work – or last – this situation does offer the possibility of overcoming divides to pursue mutual interests. These interests become particularly apparent in the context of increased shared threats and the need to act jointly against them, the uncertainties created by rising powers, and the difficulties that Russia finds itself in. The key role of new megaregional trade agreements in this emerging great game is also emphasised in the subsequent sections of the forecast, which deal, respectively, with foreign policy and political economy. The foreign policy analysis sees the US in flux in a presidential election year, and the EU caught at the crossroads of its own failure to capitalise on integration and a migration crisis of unprecedented proportions. Meanwhile, foreign policy in the post-Soviet space is characterised more by stasis than by substantial change, with frozen conflicts and stagnant reforms in Ukraine and limited room for manoeuvre for other players the order of the day. The Russian involvement in the Middle East, however, is anything but stagnant, with the military operations in Syria having dramatic effects in both the situation in Syria and global and regional geopolitics. The sustainability of this quest for influence, however, is questioned by the attitude of other players, but also by Russia’s own internal weaknesses, notably its serious and deepening economic crisis.  


Keywords: international relations | new megaregional trade | economic crisis |



OTHER PUBLICATIONS ON THIS TOPIC

Zagashvili Vladislav
The WTO crisis as evidence of a globalization crisis [Text] / V. Zagashvili // Social Sciences. A Quarterly Journal of the Russian Academy of Sciences. 2019. Vol. 50. Issue 2. P. 60-71. DOI: 10.21146/0134-5486-2019-50-2-60-71

Salitskii Alexander
The United States and China: Deadlocks and Paradoxes of Trade War // Herald of the Russian Academy of Sciences. 2020. Vol. 90, Issue 4. P. 460-469. DOI 10.1134/S101933162004005X.

Zhukovskaja V.
Change in the world economic system: new role of developing countries / Zhukovskaya V

Arbatova Nadezhda
Russia and the European Union: Deferred Partnership // Social Sciences : A Quarterly Journal of the Russian Academy of Sciences. 2021. Vol. 52, Issue 3. P. 34-52. DOI 10.21557/SSC.69990128.

Portansky Alexey
WTO Crisis: Is There a Way Out? In: Popkova, E.G., Sergi, B.S. (eds) Geo-Economy of the Future. Springer, Cham. 2022. P. 773-781. DOI 10.1007/978-3-030-92303-7_80.

Arbatova Nadezhda
Russia and the European Union: Deferred Partnership // Social Sciences. 2021. Vol. 52, Issue 3. P. 34-52. DOI 10.21557/SSC.69990128.

Nevskaya Anastasia
Economic Ties between Russia and Estonia in the Modern Context [Text] / A.A. Nevskaya // Studies on Russian Economic Development. 2016. Vol. 27. 2. P. 216 221.

Kuznetsov Alexey
Relational locomotive or apple of discord? Bilateral perceptions of the economic cooperation [Text] / A. Deak, A. Kuznetsov // Journal of Contemporary European Studies. 2019. Vol. 27. Issue 2. P. 159-170. DOI: 10.1080/14782804.2019.1566118.

Arbatova Nadezhda
Eastern partnership in the context of Ukrainian conflict: Lessons to be learned [] / N. Arbatova // Newsletter 'In Depth'(enter of European and International Affairs). . 2014. Vol. 11 . Issue 3. .

Voda Kristina
Russo-Japanese Peace Treaty Negotiations and Plans for Joint Economic Activity on the Southern Kuril Islands // Macro Management & Public Policies. ISSN: 2661-3360. 2020. Vol. 2, Issue 2. P. 31-36. DOI 10.30564/mmpp.2i2.1250. URL: https://ojs.bilpublishing.com/index.php/mmpp/article/view/1250/1501 . Published online: 31.05.2020.

Arbatova Nadezhda
Scenarios for the post-crisis Europe [Text] / // Center for European and International Affairs. 2013. Volume 10. Issue 3. P. 23 28.

Salitskii Alexander, Tatsii V.
? / .. , .. // . - : . 2012. 3. . 8797.

Varnavskii Vladimir
The Global Transportation and Logistics Infrastructure // Herald of the Russian Academy of Sciences. 2021. Vol. 91, Issue 1. P. 65-72. DOI 10.1134/S1019331621010093.

Euro zone crisis: Causes and consequences for the Euro-Atlantic region. Report for the Euro-Atlantic Security Initiative Commission, July 2010. Head of the research and scientific editor A. Dynkin. M. : IMEMO RAN, 2010. 31 pp.

Bragina Elena
India Africa: Trade and Investments in the 21st Century

Volodin Andrey
Russia-India: Problems and Prospects of Cross Investment [Text] / A.G. Volodin // Herald of the Russian Academy of Sciences. 2016. Vol. 86. 6. P. 500 506.

Kanaev Evgeny, Muradov K.
Business in ASEAN: Practical Aspect [Text] / .. Kanaev, K. Muradov // Russian Business Guide. 2013. 3(12). P. 14 17.

Klinova Marina, Sidorova Elena
Economic Sanctions and Their Impact on Russian Economic Relations with the European Union [Text] / M. Klinova, E. Sidorova // Problems of Economic Transition. 2016. Vol. 58. 3. P. 218 234.

Trofimova Irina
Countries of BRICS and developing countries in the system of world economic relations: shifts in international capital movement / Trophimova I

Voitolovsky Feodor
US Strategy in a Changing World Order: Challenges for Russia // Herald of the Russian Academy of Sciences. 2021. Vol. 91, Issue 4. P. 393-402. DOI 10.1134/S1019331621040080.
Related publications


Comments (0)

No comments

Add comment







First news
Institute News
18/04/2024

From April 17 to 19, 2024, the International Annual Scientific Conference "Lomonosov Readings" – "Human and Social Capital of Russia: New Challenges and Opportunities" is being held at the Faculty of Economics of Lomonosov Moscow State University.

more...

18/04/2024

On April 18, 2024, the XIV Session of the Scientific and Methodological Association on Migration and Demographic Processes in the roundtable format "Modern Approaches to the Development of a Common Migration Space of the EAEU, CIS, the Union State of Russia and Belarus, BRICS in the Sphere of Migration Regulation" was held at the Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation.

more...

Recently Published