
The Role of ASEAN in Political Conflict Resolution in Myanmar. Analysis & Forecasting. Journal of IMEMO, 2021, no 2, pp. 28-37. https://doi.org/10.20542/afij-2021-2-28-37
ISSN 2713-170X
DOI: 10.20542/afij-2021-2-28-37
The article analyzes the ASEAN policy to resolve the political crisis in Myanmar, the main means and directions of its implementation. The confrontation in society as a result of the military coup on February 1, 2021 is accompanied by violence and threatens to escalate into a civil war. The threat of losing its central role in the regional security system and the regionalization of the conflict prompts ASEAN to look for ways out of it in accordance with the adopted action plan. However, its implementation is difficult both due to the fact that ASEAN remains hostage to the fundamental principle of its activities, non-interference in the internal affairs of its members, and the unwillingness of all parties to the conflict in Myanmar to seek ways of reconciliation. ASEAN's interaction with the military leadership accused of mass repression is asymmetric, with the success or failure of the ASEAN peacekeeping mission almost entirely dependent on the political will of the military. Nevertheless, ASEAN remains today the only force capable of influencing the development of the political situation in Myanmar. The best option for the international community to participate in resolving the conflict in Myanmar is to assist ASEAN in the implementation of peacekeeping activities. The most realistic ASEAN initiative today is to provide humanitarian assistance to Myanmar, which is on the brink of a humanitarian catastrophe. Considering the negative trends in socio-economic development, Myanmar for many years to come will need humanitarian support, in the provision of which ASEAN has advantages over Western states and associations. Giving preference to the methods of soft diplomacy, dictated by the need to observe the principle of non-interference in the internal affairs of Myanmar, ASEAN as an institution demonstrates its functional weakness, which the military who seized power use to delay the implementation of the measures proposed by the bloc to resolve the conflict. ASEAN continues to act with great caution, and this may cause it losing the influence on the development of the situation when China, which is not interested in prolonging the conflict, seizes the initiative.
Keywords: ASEAN | Myanmar | political crisis | peacekeeping | humanitarian assistance |
Russian Science Citation Index
OTHER PUBLICATIONS ON THIS TOPIC
Ivanov Stanislav
Peacemaking as an important part of russian foreign policy
Gromoglasova Elizaveta
Гуманитарное присутствие России в Тихоокеанской Азии: формы, масштабы, перспективы [Текст] / Е.С. Громогласова // Международные отношения. – 2017. – № 1. – С. 62-78.
Velikaya Anna, Samadov S.
Гуманитарная политика Советского Союза // Обозреватель-Observer. 2020. № 4 (363). С. 56-66.
Kanaev Evgeny, Akhmanaeva S., Vaseneva E.A.
Achieving the Vision of the ASEAN Economic Community-2025: The Role of ASEAN Business Advisory Council
Rogozhina Natalia
Таиланд: испытание властью военных [Текст] / Н.Г. Рогожина // Азия и Африка сегодня. – 2017. – № 2. – С. 14–21.
Rogozhin Alexander
Экономические отношения стран АСЕАН И Китая – взгляд без иллюзий [Текст] / А.А. Рогожин // Юго-Восточная Азия: актуальные проблемы развития. – 2017. – № 34. – С. 34-39.
Что ожидает Таиланд после парламентских выборов – возможные сценарии развития ситуации [Текст] / Н. Г. Рогожина // Юго-Восточная Азия: актуальные проблемы развития. – 2019. – Т. 1. – № 2 (43). – С. 142-151.
Rogozhin Alexander
Регулирование вывоза прибыли инвесторами из стран АСЕАН [Текст] / А.А. Рогожин // Новости АТР. – 2016. – № 2 (5). – С. 108 – 112.
Kanaev Evgeny
Проблемы отношений России со странами АСЕАН. [Текст] / Е.А. Канаев // Russia Policy Review. – 2017. – Т. 1. – № 1. – С. 60-69.
Rogozhina Natalia
Индия И АСЕАН – взаимопритяжение [Текст] / Н.Г. Рогожина // Russia Policy Review [на корейском языке]. – 2018. – Т. 2. – № 1. – С. 35-38.
Kanaev E. ASEAN at Fifty: Factors behind the “Success Stories”. – Moscow, IMEMO, 2017. – 39 р.
Kanaev Evgeny
Региональный форум АСЕАН в евразийских приоритетах России. [Текст] / Е.А. Канаев // Russia Policy Review. – 2017. – Т. 2. – № 1. – С. 21-26.
Ivanov Stanislav
To create the peace as one of directions of foreign policy of Russia
Zagladin N.
Crisis of civilization or ofhumanitariank nowledge?
Перспективы экономической интеграции Китая и АСЕАН. М., ИМЭМО РАН, 2006, 53 с.
Gromoglasova Elizaveta
Гуманитарная составляющая во внешней политике Великобритании [Текст] / Е. С. Громогласова // Международные отношения. – 2018. – № 1. – С. 42-50. DOI: 10.7256/2454-0641.2018.1.25236.
Kupriyanov Alexey
The Maldives Crisis in Sino-Indian Relations: Causes and Consequences
Arbatova Nadezhda
Италия в тисках кризиса: перемены или преемственность [Текст] / Н.К. Арбатова // Международная жизнь. – 2013. – № 7. – С. 57 – 71.
Malyshev Dmitry
Миротворчество в СНГ и мировой опыт // Свободная мысль. 2021. № 5 (1689). С. 105-118.
Rogozhina Natalia
АСЕАН – региональное сотрудничество в борьбе с терроризмом [Текст] / Н. Г. Рогожина // Юго-Восточная Азия: актуальные проблемы развития. – 2019. – Т. 1. – № 1 (42). – С. 76-83.
Related publications






No comments