Lukashin Yu., Rakhlina Lyudmila
Пять сценариев мировых тенденций в глобальном прогнозе Национального совета по разведке США до 2040 года // Вестник МИРБИС : сетевое издание. 2021. № 4 (28). С. 6-16. DOI 10.25634/MIRBIS.2021.4.1. URL: Дата публикации: 20.12.2021.
Publication Type:

ISSN 2411-5703

DOI 10.25634/MIRBIS.2021.4.1

The relevance of the article is due to the aggravation of competition in the world market, the gradual transition from a unipolar world to a multipolar one. The article attempts to analyze the main conclusions made in Report 7 NIC (National Intelligence Council), published in March 2021, covering the period up to 2040, mainly by comparison. The forecasts made in the Report allow us to assess the perception of the American leadership about the processes taking place in the world, which, apparently, underlie the long-term planning of the American government. Many of them can be agreed. At the same time, the Report also has a propaganda load, is a means of justifying the actions of the United States in its own interests, a factor in the information war with world competitors and opponents. The technology industry, which includes financial technology, is at the foremost in the forecasts for the next 20 years. First of all, the report says that advances in technology can solve complex problems, including climate change and disease, but can also provoke new tensions. By 2040, advances in new materials combined with smart manufacturing will shut down the production of everything from consumer goods to high-end military systems, cutting costs, expanding opportunities, changing supply chains, and providing entirely new design options. The period of rapid change we are entering is often referred to as the fourth industrial revolution because of its potential to improve living standards, perhaps disrupting traditional industries, jobs, supply chains and business models. At the same time, the Report underestimates the growing power of China, the role of Russia, and the intensification of competition with the EU.

Keywords: world economy | comparison of economic development | international relations | uneven development of economies | multipolar world |

Russian Science Citation Index


Lukashin Yu., Rakhlina Lyudmila
On global trends in the global forecast of the US National Intelligence Council until 2040

Lukashin Yu., Rakhlina Lyudmila
О показателях развития стран мира // Вестник МИРБИС = Вестник Московской международной высшей школы бизнеса МИРБИС : сетевое издание. 2021. № 2 (36). С. 6-25. DOI 10.25634/MIRBIS.2021.2.1. URL: Дата публикации: 10.07.2021.

Lukashin Yu., Rakhlina Lyudmila
Экономика Южно-Африканской Республики в многополярном мире // Вестник МИРБИС : сетевое издание. 2023. № 3 (35). С. 6-21. DOI 10.25634/MIRBIS.2023.3.1.

Lukashin Yu., Rakhlina Lyudmila
Китай в мировой торговле // Вестник МИРБИС : сетевое издание. 2022. № 3 (31). С. 6-22. DOI 10.25634/MIRBIS.2022.3.1. URL: Дата публикации: 30.09.2022.

Danilin Ivan
Transition to an intensive innovation growth model

Ivanova Natalya
Технологический рывок в современной экономике [Текст] / Н. И. Иванова // Научные труды Вольного экономического общества России. – 2019. – Т. 218. – № 4. – С. 329-338.

Lukashin Yu., Rakhlina Lyudmila
India's Economy in a Multipolar World. By Yu. P. Lukashin, L. I. Rakhlina. DOI 10.25634/MIRBIS.2023.1.1. Vestnik MIRBIS. 2023; 1: 6–26 (in Russ.).

Shultseva Vera
Under southern cross, ICT in Brazil

Potapov Maxim
The lessons of the Asian financial crisis of 1997-1998. for the economies of the Pacific Rim countries

Potapov Maxim
Долговая политика крупнейших экономик мира // Экономика. Бизнес. Банки. 2021. № 11. С. 8-17.

Sidorova Elena
The crisis and its consequences for the economies of Germany, Great Britain and Russia // Economy of the XXI century. - 2010. - № 5. - S. 107-122.

Nevskaya Anastasia, Olenchenko Vladimir
Цифровая экономика в России и Евросоюзе: степень совместимости [Текст] / А. А. Невская, В. А. Оленченко // Экологический вестник России. – 2018. – № 5. – С. 48-56

Ivanova Natalya
Technological Breakthrough in the Modern Economy

Shultseva Vera
Цифровой апгрейд мировой экономики: "взрыв созидательного разрушения" [Текст] / В.К. Шульцева // Электросвязь. – 2017. – № 8. – С. 41-46.

Chetverikova Anna
Экономика вишеградских стран в условиях 2022 года // Вишеградская Европа. Центральноевропейский журнал. 2022. № 3 (XV). С. 42-48.

Chetverikova Anna
Структурные изменения в экономиках стран Вишеградской группы // Российский экономический журнал. 2020. № 3. С. 77-89. DOI 10.33983/0130-9757-2020-3-77-89.

Экономическая эффективность послевоенных технических средств производства (на примере США, Японии, Германии). М., Экономика, 2006, 208 с.

Kuvaldin Stanislav
Атомная энергетика постсоциалистических стран Центральной и Восточной Европы: влияние на энергетическую политику Евросоюза // Международная экономика. 2022. № 10. С. 699-711. DOI 10.33920/vne-04-2210-02.

Klinova Marina
Globalization and Infrastructure: New Trends in the State and Business Cooperation / M. Klinova // Voprosy Economiki . – 2008. – № 8. – P. 78-90.

Chetverikova Anna
Экономика Чехии и Словакии: возможности взаимодействия // Вишеградская Европа. Центральноевропейский журнал. 2023. № 2 (XVIII). С. 47-54.
Related publications

Comments (0)

No comments

Add comment

First news
Institute News

A meeting of the Academic council of IMEMO was hold at the Academician N.N. Inozemtsev conference hall.



The next issue of the MEMO Journal (No. 7 for 2024) opens with the topical rubric "Security Problems in the Modern World", which features articles by A. Arbatov "The Bearing Structure of Global Security" and A. Krivopalov "The Southern Flank of U.S. Deployment in Eastern Europe".


Recently Published