Tatuzov Viktor
Прямые иностранные инвестиции и западноевропейская интеграция: некоторые циклические факторы // Вестник Московского университета. Серия 6: Экономика. 2021. № 3. С. 3-19.
Publication Type:
Rubric:


ISSN 0130-0105

This article examines some current problems of EU and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI). Also this article generalize and illustrate in new way long waves hypothesis. The author suggests a non-customary approach to the study and forecasting of the economic life within the framework of Kondratieff approaches. Cyclical patterns were successfully used by the author in the business and in the banking sphere. Taking into account long waves, in 2009 the author warned about the possible economic crises in Russia in 2014-2015, 2020 and such crises actually happened. The aim of this article is the systematization and the adaptation of long waves approaches to the study of many acute economic problems. The hypothesis of long waves was used by the author but only as a general empirical reference point. It touches on many actual problems of world development, including the decrease of global FDI and the growth of centrifugal forces in the EU. The question is raised about the large-scale spread of coronavirus. The rapid spread of COVID-19 could have been connected with high global instability in addition to other well-known factors. Taking into account Kondratieff’s waves and many years of the author’s experience in the Russian business and in the Russian banking sphere, the author touches on a long unfavorable period of economic instability in Russian economy. Some economic advices to regulators and business in Russia are provided. Also the author concludes that it is necessary to continue studying the Kondratieff long wave hypothesis with the aim of its further successful use in forecasting.


Keywords: European Union | Fdi | global economic crisis | Kondratief long waves | economic cycles | economic development of Russia |

Russian Science Citation Index



OTHER PUBLICATIONS ON THIS TOPIC

Tatuzov Viktor
Анализ притока ПИИ в экономику России с учетом ряда глобальных тенденций // Экономические стратегии. 2021. Т. 23, № 5 (179). С. 96-101. DOI 10.33917/es-5.179.2021.96-101.

Tatuzov Viktor
Foreign Direct Investment and Industrial Policy (Based on Examples of Certain Countries)

Tatuzov Viktor
Динамика ПИИ: анализ и прогнозирование // Научные труды Вольного экономического общества России. 2023. Т. 240, № 2. С. 66-86. DOI 10.38197/2072-2060-2023-240-2-66-86.

Varnavskii Vladimir , Dunaev B., Kirilenko L.
Cycles in the Russian Economy

Khoros Vladimir
На пути к большой концепции прогнозирования [Текст] / В.Г. Хорос // Экономические стратегии. – 2015. – Т. 17. – №  4 (130). – С. 126 – 133. – Рец. на кн.: Историческое прогнозирование в XXI веке: циклы Кондратьева, эволюционные циклы и перспективы мирового развития. /В.И. Пантин, В.В. Лапкин. – М.: Феникс+ , 2014. – 456 с.

Semenenko Irina
Evolutionary cycles and problems of forecasting political changes. – Polis. Political Studies. 2015. No 1. P. 173-178.

Tatuzov Viktor
Contemporary global economic crisis: Some conclusions for Russia and BRICS (taking into account Kondratieff long waves) // BRICS Journal of Economics : electronic journal. 2020. Vol. 1, Issue 2. P. 25-40. DOI 10.38050/2712-7508-2020-8. URL: https://www.brics-econ.org/archive/2020.Vol.1.No.2/2/ (accessed date: 14.09.2020).

Volkov Aleksei
Экономические отношения России и Норвегии на современном этапе [Электронный ресурс] / А. М. Волков // Мировое и национальное хозяйство. – 2018. – № 2-3(45). – URL: http://www.mirec.ru/2018-02-03/economic-relations-between-russia-and-norway-nowadays

Kuznetsov Alexey
Жили по соседству / А.В. Кузнецов // Прямые инвестиции. – 2012. – № 10. – С. 34–36.

Volkov Aleksei
Economic relations between Russia and Sweden

Gracheva Mariya
Прямые инвестиции развитых стран в ФРГ: анализ статистики германского федерального банка [Текст] / М.В. Грачева // Экономический анализ: теория и практика. – 2014. – № 36. – С. 39 – 47.

Tatuzov Viktor
Использование и регулирование прямых иностранных инвестиций: новая парадигма // Вестник Московского университета. Серия 6. Экономика. 2023. Т. 58, № 5. С. 25-42. DOI 10.55959/MSU0130-0105-6-58-5-2.

Mirkin Yakov
Вокзал для инвестиций [Текст] / Я.М. Миркин // Прямые инвестиции. – 2013. – № 10. – С. 14 – 16.

Rogozhin Alexander
Экономические отношения стран АСЕАН И Китая – взгляд без иллюзий [Текст] / А.А. Рогожин // Юго-Восточная Азия: актуальные проблемы развития. – 2017. – № 34. – С. 34-39.

Volkov Aleksei
Economic relations of Russia with Finland at the present stage

Kvashnin Yuri
Russian-Greek trade and economic relations: mutual interests and political imperatives

Pantin Vladimir
Циклы реформ – контрреформ в России и их связь с циклами мирового развития / В.И. Пантин // Полис. Политические исследования. – 2011. – № 6. – С. 22–31.

Zhukova Tatiana
The Second Wave of Pension Reforms (2009–2019): Transformation of Pension Systems Projection

Volodina M.
Russia’s economic interests on Northern Africa
Related publications


Comments (0)

No comments

Add comment







First news
Institute News
19/02/2025

On February 19, 2025 (Wednesday) at 14:00 in the Academician Inozemtsev conference hall the “Asian Seminar” under the leadership of Academician Vasily Mikheev will be held. 

more...

17/02/2025

The monograph by Alexandra Voitolovskaya “Crises in the USA. Experience of Presidential Decisions” has been published.

more...

Recently Published