Pantin Vladimir
Период 2017-2025 гг.: перелом в мировом развитии [Текст] / В.И. Пантин // История и современность. – 2017. – № 1(25). – С. 6-31.
Publication Type:


ISSN 1811-7481

The article describes the key causes and factors that determine the nature of the threshold period between 2017 and 2025. The author analyzes the most important trends of this period, which took place during similar turning periods (between 1849-1857 and 1945-1953) of the world system's previous evolutionary cycles. Among these trends are shifts in the global political leadership, transition of the center of influence on the world development from the Euro-Atlantic to the Asia-Pacific region, political crises and social upheavals in Europe, growth of domestic and international conflicts in the world, economic and political crises, large-scale geopolitical and geoeconomic shifts, important changes in the spiritual, cultural, and ideological spheres. On the basis of the identified trends and empirical analysis of the processes ongoing in the world, the author formulates his forecast of the key changes and shifts that are likely to happen between 2017 and 2025. Some of these changes and shifts will be of particular importance, notably the transition to a polycentric world order and the new technological paradigm, the crises in the world economy and in the financial sector, the growing influence of China and other countries in the Asia-Pacific region, the fight against international terrorism, and the crisis in the European Union. Russia is to face a difficult period of adaptation to the rapidly changing economic, technological and political conditions. One of the most crucial tasks, whose solution will determine Russia’s future, is the implementation of re-industrialization and introduction of new technologies. 


Russian Science Citation Index



OTHER PUBLICATIONS ON THIS TOPIC

Pantin Vladimir
Социально-демографические и цивилизационные сдвиги в современном мире: причины и следствия [Текст] / В.И. Пантин // История и современность. – 2014. – № 1. – С. 34 – 45.

Pantin Vladimir
Russia and the West in the 2020s: The prospects of geopolitical revolution

Solovyev Eduard
Geopolitical Shifts in the Modern World in the Context of the Evolution of the Concept of Sovereignty

Pantin Vladimir , Aivazov A.
От столкновения к партнерству цивилизаций: новое мироустройство и проблема реформирования ООН [Текст] / В. И. Пантин, А. Э. Айвазов // История и современность. – 2018. – № 1-2. – С. 88-108. DOI: 10.30884/iis/2018.01.05.

Pantin Vladimir , Lapkin Vladimir
Переходная эпоха 2020-х - 2040-х годов: циклы, сингулярность и альтернативы нежданного будущего // История и современность. 2020. № 1 (35). С. 66-93. DOI 10.30884/iis/2020.01.04.

Portansky Alexey
Мегарегиональный вызов [Текст] / А.П. Портанский // Россия в глобальной политике. – 2016. – Т. 14. – № 1. – С. 126 – 136.

Gadzhiev Kamaludin
Сдвиги в отношениях Запада с Россией в контексте ее сближения с Китаем [Текст] / К. С. Гаджиев // Вопросы политологии. – 2019. – Т. 9. – № 12(52). – С. 2763-2775. DOI: 10.35775/PSI.2019.52.12.022.

USA–China: the Struggle of Two Strategies and Practices of World Leadership / Vartazarova L, Kobrinskaya I., eds. – Moscow, IMEMO, 2018. – 65 p.

Solovyev Eduard
The modern theory of geopolitics: between the neoclassical renaissance and radical revisionism / Solovyev E.G.

Pantin Vladimir
Циклы реформ – контрреформ в России и их связь с циклами мирового развития / В.И. Пантин // Полис. Политические исследования. – 2011. – № 6. – С. 22–31.

Varnavskii Vladimir
Трансформация мирового геоэкономического пространства в условиях реиндустриализации [Текст] / В.Г. Варнавский // Вестник ИЭ РАН. – 2019. – № 2. – С. 119-133

Lapkin Vladimir
Моделирование российской политической истории. Введение в теорию эволюционных циклов автохтонного развития России / В.В. Лапкин // Полис. Политические исследования. – 2011. – № 6. – С. 33–51.

Vasiliev Victor
Крутые повороты в российско-германских отношениях // Обозреватель-Observer. 2021. № 1 (372). С. 5-27. DOI 10.48137/2074-2975_2021_1_5.

Barinov Igor
Inter-ethnic conflicts in Eastern Europe and the new reality of European Union

Varnavskii Vladimir
Трансформация мирового геоэкономического пространства в условиях реиндустриализации [Текст] / В. Г. Варнавский // Вестник Института экономики РАН. – 2019. – № 2. – С. 119-133. DOI: 10.24411/2073-6487-2019-10022.

Nikitin Alexander
Key tasks for preserving and strengthening strategic stability

Mirkin Yakov
Чертёж финансового будущего [Текст] / Я.М. Миркин // Вестник НАУФОР. – 2014. – № 4. – С. 47 – 54.

Lapkin Vladimir , Pantin Vladimir
Историческая динамика международной рыночной системы: циклы лидерства, геополитическая экспансия и перспективы трансформации мирового порядка [Текст] / В. В. Лапкин, В. И. Пантин // История и современность. – 2019. – № 1. – С. 17-61. DOI: 10.30884/iis/2019.01.02.

Semenenko Irina
Evolutionary cycles and problems of forecasting political changes. – Polis. Political Studies. 2015. No 1. P. 173-178.
Related publications


Comments (0)

No comments

Add comment







First news
Institute News
18/04/2024

From April 17 to 19, 2024, the International Annual Scientific Conference "Lomonosov Readings" – "Human and Social Capital of Russia: New Challenges and Opportunities" is being held at the Faculty of Economics of Lomonosov Moscow State University.

more...

18/04/2024

On April 18, 2024, the XIV Session of the Scientific and Methodological Association on Migration and Demographic Processes in the roundtable format "Modern Approaches to the Development of a Common Migration Space of the EAEU, CIS, the Union State of Russia and Belarus, BRICS in the Sphere of Migration Regulation" was held at the Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation.

more...

Recently Published