Lukonin Sergey, Jeh Sung Hoon
New Normality in the Asia-Pacific Region: Beijing between Moscow and Washington
Publication Type:

DOI: 10.22931/aanda.2023.7.1.008

For the main countries of the Asia-Pacific region, the United States, China and Russia, a situation of “new normality” is emerging. Moreover, for each of the countries, this “new normality” has its own meaning. For the United States, this is an aggravation of the military confrontation with China in the Taiwan Strait. For China, this is an increase in the degree of rivalry with the United States and a slowdown in the pace of economic development with a very high probability of their decline in the future. For Russia, this is an almost complete curtailment of relations with the United States against the background of a special military operation and imposed sanctions. These nuances, in addition to the results of the 20th CPC Congress, will determine the main trends in Sino-American and Sino-Russian relations. It seems that China's attitude towards Russia will not change against the background of the Ukrainian crisis. Beijing will maintain a position of “benevolent neutrality” towards Moscow. At the same time, the balance between “goodwill” and “neutrality” may vary depending on the scope of Sino-Russian cooperation. For example, in the economic sphere, Chinese companies will be afraid to cooperate with Russian partners for fear of secondary sanctions. However, in general, Russia will retain its importance for China as the strongest anti-American pole. In relations with the United States, China will continue to firmly defend its interests, while at the same time not excluding the normalization of relations with Washington in certain areas of cooperation: strategic stability, non-traditional threats, ecology, etc. In general, the decisions of the 20th CPC Congress do not allow us to say either in favor or against the idea of China's readiness to resume dialogue with the United States in the post-congress period. Sino-American relations, as noted above, have their own logic and will probably continue to develop within its framework. However, so are Sino-Russian relations. Within the framework of these logics, Beijing seems to continue to balance between the two vectors of its foreign policy. On the one hand, this is the development of bilateral cooperation with Russia in order to strengthen its own negotiating positions in the confrontation with the United States: military cooperation with an emphasis on joint exercises, political cooperation based on anti-Americanism, economic cooperation with an eye to the risks of secondary sanctions. On the other hand, it is unacceptable for China to recognize the collapse of Ukraine, the inadmissibility of a direct military clash with the United States and the extreme undesirability of further aggravation of relations with the United States on the factor of Chinese friendship with Russia.

Keywords: International Relations | New Normality | Asia-Pacific Region | China | Russia | United States |


Kanaev Evgeny
Успокоить Запад, уравновесить Восток [Текст] / Т. Бордачёв, Е.А. Канаев // Россия в глобальной политике. – 2014. – Т. 12. – № 4. – С. 144 – 155.

Lukonin Sergey
Китай: новая нормальность крупным планом [Текст] / С.А. Луконин // Металлы Евразии. – 2017. – № 2 (126). – С. 54-55.

Kanaev Evgeny, Liu Xingtao
he Asia-Pacific Security Systems: The Dynamics and the Development Factors. Yugo-Vostochnaya Aziya: aktual'nyye problemy razvitiya, 2022, T. 2, No 2 (55). Pp. 11–25.

Lukonin Sergey
О транснационализации компаний азиатско-тихоокеанского региона (опыт Японии, Китая, Южной Кореи) / С.А. Луконин // Менеджмент и бизнес-администрирование. – 2010. – № 4. – С. 80–89.

Kanaev Evgeny, Terskikh Mikhail
Cooperation between Russia and the South Pacific Countries: an Asia-Pacific Multilateral Dialogue Perspective

Kudinova Olga
Мифы, реальность и новая нормальность [Текст] / О.Н. Кудинова // The Chemical Journal. – 2016. – № 9. – С. 34 – 38.

Zhukov Stanislav , Reznikova Oksana
Asia Pacific Countries: the World Leading Center of Demand for Hydrocarbons

Arbatov Alexey
China and Arms Control: Not Utopia, but a Reality

Russia – China – USA triangle in APR: factors of uncertainty. Ed. by V. Amirov and V. Mikheev Moscow, IMEMO RAN, 2009.

Chudinova Ksenia
Priorities and New Areas for U.S. Economic Cooperation with the Asia-Pacific Region

Potapov Maxim
Место доллара США в международных резервах стран АТР // Горизонты экономики. 2021. № 6 (66). С. 63-70.

Voda Kristina
Новая эпоха «Рэйва» в Японии. Политические задачи // Свободная мысль. 2020. № 1. С. 51-62.

Mikheev Vasily , Ignatev Sergei
Будущие сценарии развития Азиатско-Тихоокеанского региона и его российский ракурс [Текст] / В.В. Михеев, С.В. Игнатьев // Федерализм. – 2018. – № 2 (90). – С. 97-111.

Mishin Igor
The Indo-Pacific Strategy of the Biden Administration: Continuity and New Trends

Mishin Igor
U.S.’ South China Sea policy: The first steps under presidency of Joe Biden

Интересы России в азиатско-тихоокеанском регионе: безопасность и развитие. Итоги Первого азиатско-тихоокеанского форума. Редколлегия: И.С. Иванов (председатель), В.Г. Барановский, А.М. Васильев, А.А. Дынкин, В.Л. Иноземцев, А.В. Кортунов, В.А. Мау, В.В. Наумкин, С.М. Рогов. Авторы-составители: В.В. Сумский, Е.А. Канаев, Е.В. Колдунова./НП РСМД, РЦИ АТЭС. М., Проспект, 2012, 33 с.

Kanaev Evgeny
US-ASEAN Cooperation on the South China Sea Issue

Kanaev Evgeny
Большая Евразия, Индо-Тихоокеанский регион и отношения России с АСЕАН [Текст] / Е. А. Канаев, А. С. Королев // Контуры глобальных трансформаций: политика, экономика, право. – 2019. – Т. 12. – № 1. – С. 26-43. DOI: 10.23932/2542-0240-2019-12-1-26-43.

Borisova Alexandra
Russia and the United States: Long-Term Confrontation or New Rules of the Game?

Kopytin Ivan
Prospects of Russian Oil Companies in the Asian Pacific Region Under Decarbonization
Related publications

Comments (0)

No comments

Add comment

First news
Institute News

On February 21, 2024, at 14:30 in the Academician Inozemtsev conference hall a meeting of the Scientific-Theoretical Seminar of the Center for Comparative Socio-Economic and Political Studies on the topic "Science, Religion, Society in the Dynamics of the Modern World" will be held.



The 4th issue for 2023 of the journal “Russia and the New State of Eurasia” has been published. The issue opens with the article on the impact of the Ukrainian crisis on the formation of the new world order. Much attention is also paid to other countries located in the European part of the post-Soviet space.


Recently Published