Между развитием, ростом и выживанием:о некоторых особенностях модели социально-экономического развития Ирана на современном этапе // Международная аналитика. 2023. Т. 14, № 1. С. 72-91. DOI 10.46272/2587-8476-2023-14-1-72-91.
ISSN 2587-8476
DOI 10.46272/2587-8476-2023-14-1-72-91
In recent years, conservative forces in Iran have lambasted their moderate and pragmatic rivals for their inability to solve the country’s economic issues and improve the living standards of its populace. However, since Ebrahim Raisi won the presidential election in 2021, Iranian conservatives have had their own chance to tackle the country’s internal challenges, being the last of the political forces without direct influence on the economic decision-making system for a long time. Nevertheless, their failed attempts to foster economic growth under sanctions pressure may prove critical to the Islamic Republic. Not only the conservative part of the establishment but the entire political system may risk losing what remains of its credibility with the Iranian people, who could perceive it as incapable of eff ectively managing the economy. Furthermore, the government’s success in resolving the current socio-economic development issues is also pivotal to the political future of E. Raisi. His failure would deprive him of any opportunity to claim the post of the next supreme leader of Iran. Meanwhile, the accumulated structural problems of the Iranian economy and the external sanctions pressure can render achieving economic progress a daunting, if not insurmountable, task. This paper seeks to elucidate why there is signifi cant social tension in Iran, resulting in periodic outbursts of protest, and why the economic situation is deemed a crisis, despite the relative resilience of the Iranian economy to external and internal challenges, as well as the macroeconomic performance dynamics, which are not necessarily inferior to those of Iran’s regional neighbors. To answer this question, the paper analyzes the main economic challenges facing the country’s leadership and the extent to which the goals and priorities of the implemented “resistance economy” doctrine provide an adequate response to them. As a theoretical tool, the author employs the ideas of M. Todaro, A. Sen, S. Smith, J. Foster, and C. Handy, justifying the need for any state to transcend the simple parameters of economic growth in formulating its development strategy and think more comprehensively, focusing primarily on creating a social and economic environment that is comfortable for its citizens. As a result, the author concludes that the model of the Iranian economy that has been formed in an aggressive environment prioritizes the survival of the existing political system, approaching the issue of economic growth as secondary and failing to satisfy some popular needs beyond the basic ones. It is incapable of ensuring comprehensive sustainable socio-economic development, which over time leads to the accumulation of internal tension in Iranian society.
Keywords: Iran | sanctions | socio-economic development | resistance economy |
Russian Science Citation Index
OTHER PUBLICATIONS ON THIS TOPIC
Salitskii Alexander
Санкции и замещение импорта на примере опыта Ирана и Китая [Текст] / А.И. Салицкий, Синь Чжао, В.И. Юртаев // Вестник российской академии наук. – 2017. – № 3. – С. 263-271.
Illeritsky Nikita
Современное состояние и вызовы экономического развития Исламской Республики Иран [Текст] / Н. И. Иллерицкий // Инновации и инвестиции. – 2018. – № 11. – С. 64-67.
Система механизмов социально-экономического развития США. Ответственный редактор Кириченко Э.В., Марцинкевич В.И. 15 а.л.
Arbatov Alexey
Иранский ядерный узел / А.Г. Арбатов // Азия и Африка сегодня. – 2010. – № 2. – С. 2–7.
Klinova Marina
French Researchers on Strengthening the Position of the State in the Russian economy / Socioeconomic and Political Development in Russia (Look from Europe) Ed. by V.P. Gutnik and A.V. Avilova. Moscow, IMEMO RAN, 2009. P. 40-62.
Yemelyanova Olesya
Comparative analysis of "catch-up modernization" models in Russia and Japan
Bragina Elena
Индия: итоги выборов и новая расстановка политических сил [Текст] / Е.А. Брагина // Международная жизнь. – 2014. – № 11. – С. 96 – 112.
Subbotin Mikhail
Санкции в режиме нон-стоп [Текст] / М.А. Субботин // Профиль. – 2016. – № 19 (953). – С. 17.
Subbotin Mikhail
Санкции в режиме нон-стоп [Текст] / М.А. Субботин // Нефть России. – 2016. – № 9. – С. 12 – 15.
Portansky Alexey
Sanctions Against Russia – Destructive and Counterproductive Measures
The World Economy: Global Trends of the Past Century. Ed. by Korolyov I.S., Corresponding Member of the Academy of Sciences of the RF. Moscow, Yurist Publishers, 2003.
Migranyan Azganush
Опыт стран Евразийского экономического союза. Риски и потенциал социально ориентированной экономической политики // Обозреватель-Observer. 2022. № 11-12 (394–395). С. 80-94. DOI 10.48137/2074-2975_2022_11-12_80.
Mirkin Yakov
The Russian economy: growth under sanctions (future scenarios)
Lunev Sergey
Impact of civilizational specifics of the biggest countries on their social, political and economic development: a comparative analysis [Text] е / S.I. Lunev, A.D. Voskressenski // Sravnitelnaya politika-Comparative politics. – 2016. – Vol. 7. – № 3(24). – P. 85 – 106.
Sidorova Elena
European Experience and Russian Problems Stimulate Socio-economic Development / Problems of Russia Economy and Economic Policy Modernization. Economic Doctrine of the Russian Federation. Proceedings of the Russian Scientific Meeting of Economics (Moscow, 19-20 October 2007). Moscow, Nauchny Expert, 2008. P. 728-742.
Lukonin Sergey, Vakhrushin Ivan, Wang Limei
Российско-китайское торгово-экономическое сотрудничество на фоне антироссийских санкций [на кит.яз.] // Сибирские исследования : ISSN 1008-0961. 2023. Т. 50, № 4. С. 5-16.
Vakhrushin Ivan
The US Policy of Sanctions and Restrictions against China. Beijing’s Tactical Countermeasures and Strategic Counteraction Potential
Социологический калейдоскоп. Памяти Л.А.Гордона. Под редакцией Г.Дилигенского, Э.Клопова, А.Назимовой. М., Прогресс-Традиция, 2002, 25 п.л.
Klinova Marina, Sidorova Elena
Economic Sanctions of the West against Russia: Development of the Situation [Text] / M.V. Klinova, E.A. Sidorova // Problems of Forecasting. – 2019. – No. 3 (174), pp. 159-170. (in Russ.).
Rustamova Leili
Социально-гуманитарное сотрудничество России и Германии в условиях санкций [Текст] / Л. Р. Рустамова // Вопросы политологии. – 2019. – № 6 (46). – С. 82-88
Related publications
No comments