The Beveridge curve: What does it tell us about the stance of the Russian labor market? Journal of the New Economic Association, 4 (65), 246–258 (in Russian).
ISSN 2221-2264
The unique situation that developed in the Russian labor market in the 2020s is examined through the prism of the Beveridge curve. The key event in this period was the emergence of a massive “overhang” of vacantjobs, which already reached 8%. The analysis shows that a dramatic upward shift in the Beveridge curve occurred at the peak of the coronavirus crisis. The main trigger for the vacancy escalation was the increased mismatch between the structure of the workforce and the structure ofjobs due to sharp changes on the labor demand side. Both structural and cyclical components of unemployment are estimated. According to the results obtained, at the peak of the corona-crisis, the Russian labor market actually experienced a significant deterioration in matching, that is, the sharpened mismatch between labor demand and labor supply. This led to an upward drift in the “natural” rate of unemployment, which is currently estimated at 4.5%. At the same time, the vacancy expansion during the second sanction crisis was mainly associated with the overheating of the economy caused by its transfer to a semi-military footing.
Keywords: Beveridge curve | unemployment | vacancies | labor market |
OTHER PUBLICATIONS ON THIS TOPIC
Kapelyushnikov Rostislav
Expansion of vacant jobs in the Russian labor market: Dynamics, composition, triggers. Voprosy Ekonomiki. 2024;(7):81-111. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2024-7-81-111
Kapelyushnikov Rostislav
The Russian labor market: A statistical portrait on the crises background. Voprosy Ekonomiki. 2023;(8):5-37. (In Russ.)
Bogaevskaya Oksana
Рынок труда США: тенденции и вызовы // США и Канада: экономика, политика, культура. 2023. № 8. С. 17-26. DOI 10.31857/S2686673023080023.
Kapelyushnikov Rostislav
The Russian Labor Market: Paradoxes of Post-crisis Performance
Labor Market: Economic Crisis Reaction. Editors: Burdzhalov F., Gontmakher Y. Moscow, IMEMO RAN, 2011, 184 p.
Volkov Aleksei , Belukhin Nikita
Интеграция иммигрантов на рынке труда Дании [Электронный ресурс] / А.М. Волков, Белухин Н.Е. // Мировое и национальное хозяйство. – 2018. – № 4(46). – URL: http://mirec.ru/2018-04/the-integration-of-immigrants-on-the-labour-market-of-denmark
Kapelyushnikov Rostislav
The Russian Labour Market Model Trial by Recession
Kapelyushnikov Rostislav
Demand and Supply of Skilled Labor in Russia: Who Ran Faster? Part I / R. Kapelyushnikov
Kapelyushnikov Rostislav
Demand and Supply of Skilled Labor in Russia: Who Ran Faster? Part II / R. Kapelyushnikov
Kapelyushnikov Rostislav
Конец российской модели рынка труда? М., Фонд «Либеральная миссия», 2009, 72 с.
Syndyashkina Evgeniya
Государственная политика на рынке труда в странах ЕС: основные тенденции и направления трансформации // Социально-трудовые исследования. 2022. № 3 (48). С. 67-80. DOI 10.34022/2658-3712-2022-48-3-67-80.
Kapelyushnikov Rostislav ,
Paradoxes of reservation wage setting in the Russian labor market. Part II
Kapelyushnikov Rostislav ,
Paradoxes of reservation wage setting in the Russian labor market. Part I
Kapelyushnikov Rostislav
Российский рынок труда: адаптация без реструктуризации. М., ГУВШЭ, 2001, 22,5 п.л.
Chetverikova Anna
Czech Labour Market: Long-Standing Problems and New Challenges
Social and Labor Studies. Issue 21. Ed. by Komarovsky V.V., Sadovaya E.S., Andrukovich L.N., Vedeneyeva V.T. Moscow, IMEMO RAN, 2008.
Khokhlova Marina
Профессионально-возрастной состав неформально занятых / Современные проблемы трансформации российского рынка труда и связанных с ним социально-трудовых отношений. Социально-трудовые исследования. Выпуск ХХ. М.: ИМЭМО РАН, 2007, С. 29-41
Khokhlova Marina
К вопросу о профессионально-производственных ресурсах безработных в 1992-2002 гг. / Безработица в постсоветской России (социальная компонента).Социально-трудовые исследования. Выпуск ХVII. М.: ИМЭМО РАН, 2005, С. 64-77
Kirichenko Irina
Амбициозные и бессмысленные /И.В. Кириченко = Анастасия Матвеева // Эксперт. 2014. – № 3 (882). – С. 66 – 71
Komarovskiy Victor, Sadovaya Elena
Prospects for the Development of Social and Labor Relations in Present-day Russia. «Social and Labor Studies», Issue 16. Moscow, IMEMO RAN, 2003.
Related publications
No comments