Potapov Maxim
Economic Development in East Asia: Current Situation and Prospects
Publication Type:


ISSN 1026-8804

DOI 10.24411/1026-8804-2020-10037

The paper analyzes the economic development of East Asian countries in 2014-2019 with a forecast for 2020 in the context of factors of economic growth and foreign trade. The paper is based on statistical data from international economic organizations. It is noted that in general the prospects for the East Asian region are quite stable. Domestic demand balances the negative impact of reduced external export demand due to trade restrictions. Despite continued dependence on foreign trade, many East Asian countries have reached a stage of development where domestic private consumption has become a strong driver of growth. China continues to be the engine of the world economy as the world’s largest producer and consumer of goods. In the context of expanding protectionism and import restrictions on the goods made in China, the leading role of domestic investment and growing consumer demand in maintaining economic growth allows China to overcome the crisis in the world economy without much loss. It is concluded that trade contradictions as well as uncertainty about the future of the multilateral trading system will give a new impetus to bilateral and multilateral integration initiatives. The countries of the East Asian region will be increasingly inclined to conclude bilateral and regional trade agreements for further development. It is regional economic integration that can become an additional engine for the development of East Asia. A key factor for its success is the presence of large emerging markets in the region. The emergence of a large middle class with growing incomes and purchasing power in East Asian countries leads to a growing demand for a wide range of consumer and industrial goods and services. This increasing demand generates rapid growth in intraregional trade and provides the basis for further deepening regional economic integration.


Keywords: foreign trade | domestic consumption | East Asia | investment demand | Chinese economy | world economy | non­tariff measures | consumer demand | protectionism | trade war | economic integration | economic growth |

Russian Science Citation Index



OTHER PUBLICATIONS ON THIS TOPIC

Anosov Boris
Активизация потребительского спроса как залог успешного развития экономики КНР // Проблемы прогнозирования. 2021. № 6 (189). С. 158-167. DOI 10.47711/0868-6351-189-158-167.

Potapov Maxim
On the Sustainability of the Chinese Economy in the Period of World and Regional Crises / Potapov M.

Borisov Stanislav
Золото в современном мире. М., Наука, 2006, 247 с.

Portansky Alexey
Игра по правилам или право сильного. Что ждет мировую торговлю? // Мир перемен. 2021. № 2. С. 70-83. DOI 10.51905/2073-3038_2021_2_70.

Potapov Maxim
On the Growth Factors and Model of Economic Development of China

Grigoriev Leonid
The Demand for Law on the Part of Elites: «The Effect of the Tram» / L. Grigoriev

Белянова Е.В., Nikolaenko S.A.
Paradoxes of Theory and the Real Economy: The Nobel Prize in Economics 2015

Kapelyushnikov Rostislav
Whether economic return from education fell / Kapelyushnikov R.I.

Kondrat’ev Vladimir
Коронавирус и горная промышленность // Горная промышленность. 2020. № 5. С. 10-18. DOI 10.30686/1609-9192-2020-3-98-104.

Reva Alexander
The relationship between primary energy consumption and GDP. Elasticity of primary energy consumption in India

Obolenskiy Vladimir
Foreign Economic Relations of Russia: Some Lessons from the Global Crisis / V. Obolensky

Obolenskiy Vladimir
Foreign trade of Russia: the nature of rises and falls

Kondrat’ev Vladimir
Глобальный ресурсный ландшафт [Текст] / В.Б. Кондратьев // Горная промышленность. – 2015. – № 2(120). – С. 1 – 6.

Rogozhin Alexander
Торговая война или сложные переговоры?: интервью [Текст] / А. А. Рогожин ; беседу вел И. Скогорев // Национальный банковский журнал. – 2018. – № 5 (171). – С. 78-80.

Kapelyushnikov Rostislav
Demand and Supply of Skilled Labor in Russia: Who Ran Faster? Part I / R. Kapelyushnikov

Kapelyushnikov Rostislav
Demand and Supply of Skilled Labor in Russia: Who Ran Faster? Part II / R. Kapelyushnikov

Sinitsyn Mikhail
China as the Global Leader of Road Vehicle Electrification: Oil Market Risks

Nozdrev Stanislav
Азия: процессы региональной экономической интеграции / С. В. Ноздрев. – DOI 10.24411/2686-7702-2020-10003. – Текст : электронный // Восточная Азия: факты и аналитика : [электронный научный журнал]. – 2020. – № 1. – С. 34-46. – URL: http://www.eastasiajournal.ru/images/ea/2020/ea_2020_1_34-46.pdf (дата обращения: 14.09.2020).

Nozdrev Stanislav
Economic and regional integration in Asia

Varnavskii Vladimir
Инновационный рост мировой экономики: основные тренды и перспективы [Текст] / В.Г. Варнавский // Друкеровский вестник. – 2017. – № 1. – С. 5-15.
Related publications


Comments (0)

No comments

Add comment







First news
Institute News
19/03/2025

On March 19, 2025, a Roundtable on the current state of Russian-American relations was held at the International Multimedia Press Center of the Media Group “Russia Today”.

more...

19/03/2025

The 10th Anniversary “Raisina Dialogue” International Conference on geopolitics and geoeconomics, is being held in New Delhi from March 17-19, 2025, bringing together over 3,500 participants from 125 countries: leaders from politics, business, media and civil society.

more...

Recently Published