Arbatov Alexey
Controlling Nuclear Arms in a Multipolar World // Survival. 2024. Vol. 66, Issue 6. P. 87-102. DOI 10.1080/00396338.2024.2432195.
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Sixty years of nuclear-arms-control efforts have been successful in many respects, with one notable exception: it has proven difficult to transition from a bilateral (US–Soviet Union/Russia) to a multilateral format in seeking to limit and reduce existing nuclear weapons. This is principally because of a mistaken approach to multilateral disarmament that does not take into account the nature of multilateral deterrence among nuclear states. Yet a transition to a multilateral format is becoming an indispensable condition for the rescue of the non-proliferation and disarmament system in the emerging polycentric world order. Assuming that the Russia–Ukraine war can first be settled, a new approach to multilateral arms control is needed that takes into account the security interests of all the participating states.


Keywords: arms control | deterrence | disarmament | Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty | missiles | New START | non-proliferation | Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) | nuclear weapons | nuclear-weapons-free zone | sweapons of mass destruction (WMD) |



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