Mirkin Yakov
Future Dynamics of Russian Ruble Exchange Rate
Publication Type:

ISSN 2222-0917

The article describes the characteristics of a long trend to weaken the ruble along with other key currencies of emerging markets. The causal mechanism of long-term ruble depreciation is explained. In particular, the weaknesses and peculiarities of the Russian economy and its financial sector, which are the basis of the many-year devaluation of the ruble, are disclosed in detail. Explained the role of the carry trade in this process. The forecast of ruble weakening to world reserve currencies over long time horizons is given.

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