A Peaceful Clash. The US and China: Which Model Holds Out Promise for the Future? [Text]


Dynkin Alexander , Pantin Vladimir
A Peaceful Clash. The US and China: Which Model Holds Out Promise for the Future? [Text] / A. Dynkin, V. Pantin // World Futures: The Journal of Global Education. – 2012.– V.68. – Issue 7. – P. 506 – 517.

Publication Type:
Articles in Journals

 This article analyzes some prospects for the economic and political development of the United States and China. The first part of the article is devoted to the consideration of strengths and weaknesses of the U.S. model and of the Chinese one. The second part of the article considers the most probable scenarios of the future struggle for world leadership. The first scenario suggests that China will continue developing at a faster rate in the several coming decades and will be gradually catching up with the United States in terms of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) production. However, after several crises in 2008–2020 the United States will likely regain a number of advantages over China as a result of assimilation of the newest technologies. The second scenario suggests that the United States will come across a whole range of internal social and political problems related to internal political splits. In this case, the United States will have to share its global leadership with China. The article attempts to answer the following questions: What scenario is more probable? Will the old world order change? What are the main conclusions for the European Union and for Russia?





OTHER PUBLICATIONS ON THIS TOPIC

Lunev Sergey
Impact of civilizational specifics of the biggest countries on their social, political and economic development: a comparative analysis [Text] е / S.I. Lunev, A.D. Voskressenski // Sravnitelnaya politika-Comparative politics. – 2016. – Vol. 7. – № 3(24). – P. 85 – 106.

Klinova Marina
French Researchers on Strengthening the Position of the State in the Russian economy / Socioeconomic and Political Development in Russia (Look from Europe) Ed. by V.P. Gutnik and A.V. Avilova. Moscow, IMEMO RAN, 2009. P. 40-62.

Malysheva Dina
The Middle East between turbulence and development

Shultseva Vera
China Digital Economy: Assimilation! Opposition is Wistful. Part 1

Yevtodyeva Marianna
Военно-политическое измерение ОБСЕ: состояние и тенденция развития / М.Г. Евтодьева // Международная жизнь. – 2010. – №11. – С. 79-93.

Arbatov Alexey
China and Arms Control: Not Utopia, but a Reality

Pantin Vladimir
Циклы реформ – контрреформ в России и их связь с циклами мирового развития / В.И. Пантин // Полис. Политические исследования. – 2011. – № 6. – С. 22–31.

Lukonin Sergey
Россия и Китай: пределы сотрудничества [Текст] / С. А. Луконин // Научные труды Вольного экономического общества России. – 2019. – Т. 220. – № 6. – С. 71-82.

Vasil'ev Victor
Migration as a blessing and a burden for Germany // International Affairs, 2016, № 3, pp 57-70.

Socioeconomic and Political Development in Russia (Look from Europe) Ed. by V.P. Gutnik and A.V. Avilova. Moscow, IMEMO RAN, 2009.

Lukonin Sergey
Китай: новая нормальность крупным планом [Текст] / С.А. Луконин // Металлы Евразии. – 2017. – № 2 (126). – С. 54-55.

Mikheev Vasily , Lukonin Sergey, Ignatev Sergei
Китай и глобальное лидерство. [Текст] / В.В. Михеев, С.А. Луконин, С.В. Игнатьев // Russia Policy Review. – 2017. – Т. 1. – № 3. – С. 33-43.

Lukonin Sergey
Китай: жизнь после съезда [Текст] / С.А. Луконин // Russia Policy Review[на корейском языке]. – 2018. – Т. 2. – № 1. – С. 42-45.

Ignatev Sergei
Китай 2017: год партийного съезда [Текст] / С. В. Игнатьев // Russia Policy Review [на корейском языке]. – 2018. – Т. 2. – № 1. – С. 46-52.

Mirkin Yakov
Китай банкует: еще одна альтернатива бреттон-вуддским институтам [Текст] / Я.М. Миркин // Эксперт. – 2015. – № 15 (941). – С.

Mikheev Vasily , Lukonin Sergey
Китай-США: две стороны одного противоборства [Текст] / В. В. Михеев, С. А. Луконин // Russia Policy Review [на корейском языке]. – 2019. – Т. 3. – № 1. – С. 30-34.

USA–China: the Struggle of Two Strategies and Practices of World Leadership / Vartazarova L, Kobrinskaya I., eds. – Moscow, IMEMO, 2018. – 65 p.

Mikheev Vasily , Lukonin Sergey
Китай-США: многовекторность торговой войны [Текст] / В. В. Михеев, С. А. Луконин // Russia Policy Review [на корейском языке]. – 2019. – Т. 3. – № 1. – С. 44-55.

Prokhorenko Irina
Трансформации европейского политического пространства: измерения и направления. /И.Л. Прохоренко, И.А. Чихарев // Политическая наука. – 2014. – № 2. – С. 8 –25

Экономическое и политическое сотрудничество Казахстана и России (1991-2011 гг.). Материалы II заседания Казахстанско-Российского экспертного совета (Москва, 14 февраля 2011 г.). Ред. коллегия: Б.К. Султанов (отв. редактор), Л.М. Музапарова, Г.И. Чуфрин, Н.Б. Сейдин. Алматы, КИСИ при Президенте РК, 2011, 156 с.
Еще публикации по теме


Comments (0)

No comments

Add comment







First news
Institute News
27/11/2020

Was held the international scientific conference IV Liventsev Readings "A New Paradigm of the Development of International Economic Relations: Challenges and Prospects for Russia", organized by MGIMO of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Russia, in which several employees of Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations, RAS took part.

more...

11/11/2020

The article by military observer Iliya Kramnik was published on the website of the RIAC.  It was dedicated to the presentation of the Russian issue of the SIPRI Yearbook and of its Special Annex, which is being prepared by the IMEMO.

more...

Recently Published