29On January 13, 2024, “Interfax” news agency published an article about the next IMEMO annual forecast “Russia and the World” for the current year 2025. The main conclusion the scientists come to is that the “factor-2025” will be the increasing uncertainty of the near future in almost all areas of world politics and economy since the beginning of the year.
What is this conclusion based on? On the duality of the picture of the world. In particular, on the lack of knowledge about the nature and results of possible steps and actions to be taken, as well as “on the extremely poor predictability of the development of the current set of problems and conflicts”.
But that is not all: the so-called “accompanying uncertainty” is no less important. It “is generated as a result of the unstable political and psychological state of societies and elites” that have experienced various crises.
Conclusion: this instability is “the reason that prevents adequate analysis and perception of both reality itself and the analysis of reactions to events and the results of decisions made”.
Uncertainty is also aggravated by “widespread anxiety caused by expectations of negative impact of technological and exogenous factors”.
No comments