The publication represents the outcomes of the regular academic seminar “Modern problems of development” conducted by the IMEMO Center of the problems of development and modernization. The relationships between the Center and the Periphery, the prospects for the development of the North and the South in the light of Kondrat'ev's long cycles theory, new technological modes and transformation of social institutions are discussed. For the next ten years the major conflicts in the Middle East, Central Asia, Pakistan, Afghanistan and the Korean peninsula are forecasted.
world-system analysis, forecast, North, South, West, East, socio-economic and political dynamics, Kondrat'ev's cycles, international system, world development, development center
Registered in system SCIENCE INDEX